Tag Archives: race

Murkowski’s fate: High stakes ‘spelling bee’

(CNN) — An unyielding and exuberant Sen. Lisa Murkowski thanked her supporters on election night as she appeared headed to a once-improbable victory in Alaska’s Senate contest.

Just two months ago, the incumbent Republican conceded her party’s primary to little-known Tea Party-backed Joe Miller. Shortly after, Murkowski dove into the middle of Republican infighting by launching a write-in bid to retain her seat.

Party leaders criticized her decision. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who endorsed Miller, called Murkowski’s revived campaign “a futile effort on her part.” The last U.S. senator to win on a write-in campaign was Strom Thurmond in 1954.

“They said it couldn’t be done,” Murkowski told CNN as the results came in late Tuesday. “We looked at that, and we said if it can be done anywhere, it can be done in Alaska, and let’s prove the rest of the country wrong.”

Aware of the intricacies of a write-in win, Murkowski cautioned that “we’re not done yet. There’s still a lot out more there; we know that.”

Alaska counts write-in ballots

Ballot count to determine Alaska race

Cold victory walk an Alaskan tradition

Murkowski: We are not done yet

The votes for write-in candidates outnumbered those for both Miller and Scott McAdams, the Democratic candidate.

But the outcome of the general election might not be known for days because officials need to determine which write-in votes actually went to Murkowski.

She was one of 161 people who filed the paperwork necessary to qualify as a write-in candidate, according to the Alaska Division of Elections.

As of Wednesday night, with 78 percent of precincts reporting, the write-in candidates were leading the pack with 41 percent of the vote. Miller had 34 percent, and McAdams trailed with 24 percent.

CNN has projected that the Democratic candidate will finish in third place but has not yet called the race for Murkowski or Miller.

Despite Murkowski’s excitement, Miller’s campaign remained optimistic Wednesday, saying, “This campaign is not over!”

“Previous write-in campaigns in Alaska have demonstrated that as much as 5 [percent] to 6 percent of returned ballots have not met the standard to be counted as a valid vote,” the campaign said in a statement.

“Candidates who mount a write-in campaign opt for an uphill battle. At this point, without a single write-in ballot counted, Lisa Murkowski has no claim on a victory.”

Another fellow Alaskan running as a write-in is Lisa M. Lackey, whose presence on the ballot may complicate things for Murkowski.

Under state law, for a write-in vote to be valid, the name written on the ballot must match the name as it is listed on the write-in candidate’s declaration of candidacy. In Murkowski’s case, the law requires her supporters to write “Lisa Murkowski” or “Murkowski” for the vote to be counted.

However, in the event a voter misspells or abbreviates a candidate’s name, such as “Lisa M.” instead of “Lisa Murkowski,” the Division of Elections would determine the voter’s intent “on a case-by-case basis,” according to division director Gail Fenumiai.

With two potential “Lisa M’s” as write-in candidates, determining the intent of a voter who writes in “Lisa M.” on his or her ballot would be much more difficult.

Matt Felling, an anchor for KTVA-TV in Anchorage, said the race could prove to be the “highest stakes spelling bee in American political history.”

“Now we are going to find out how many people can put nine letters together that somewhat resemble Murkowski,” he told CNN.

Miller’s campaign blasted the Division of Elections’ standards as “extraordinarily ambiguous.”

On election nights, the Division of Elections tabulates the total number of write-in votes cast — not a breakdown by candidate.

The Division of Elections only calculates the number of write-in votes for specific candidates if the total number of write-in votes cast is more than the number of votes received for any candidate, or if the total number of write-in votes comes in a close second to the top vote-getter.

Before the Division of Elections can start tabulating the write-in votes for specific candidates, all of the ballots cast have to be counted, including absentee ballots, early votes and questioned ballots.

The lieutenant governor’s office and the Division of Elections plan to count all absentee ballots next Tuesday and move on to the hand count of the write-in votes the following day. The count of the write-in ballots is expected to take about three days.

The count was moved up from the original date of November 18 to provide election results in “a timely manner,” according to Renee Limoge, spokeswoman for Alaska Lt. Gov. Craig Campbell.

Miller told CNN he would challenge the decision to count the votes earlier than planned. He also said that as of Wednesday, he had not heard from the national GOP, which backed his candidacy.

Murkowski said she intends to caucus with the Republicans should she return to the Senate.

“I’m not my party’s nominee, but I am a Republican,” she said.

With a victory, Murkowski would avenge her August primary loss to Miller in the latest chapter of a feud with his main backers and her long-standing tension with Palin.

Murkowski was first appointed to her post by her father, then-Gov. Frank Murkowski in 2002. Palin defeated him in the 2006 GOP gubernatorial primary.

CNN’s Drew Griffin, Jason Hanna and Robert Yoon contributed to this report.

Murkowski’s fate: High stakes ‘spelling bee’

Campaign Circus: Hating Sarah Palin is genetic?

Washington (CNN) — As Election Day gets closer, the rhetoric gets more intense, interesting and, shall we say, passionate. Here are some things you might have missed.

Blame it on biology

Researchers at the University of California and Harvard University say there’s a genetic reason why some people just can’t stand former Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin.

Between a Reid and a hard place

The New York Times reports that Democratic Sen. Chuck Schumer — the No. 2 Democrat in the Senate — is finding himself in an “excruciatingly delicate position” as he works to keep Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in office, while at the same time, weighing his own political ambitions.

After all, if Reid loses to Republican Sharron Angle and Democrats keep control of the Senate, Schumer is widely believed to be next in line.

Let the knives do the voting

AOL News wanted to find out if champion knife-thrower David Adamovich, known as “The Great Throwdini,” could predict upcoming election races by throwing knives at candidates’ names on a spinning wheel. Adamovich, a self-identified conservative, made some interesting picks.

Dog-gone it, they don’t like me

Republicans, still upset at comedian Al Franken’s stunning win to Norm Coleman in Minnesota’s Senate race, are vowing to never let that happen again.

The Republican National Committee’s No More Frankens site asks for donations in order to “stand together in 2010, to ensure that there will be No More Frankens.”

Clowning around

Christine O’Donnell, the Tea Party-backed candidate for a Delaware Senate seat, has faced national scrutiny for campaign gaffes and controversial statements since jumping into the race. But she has taken it in stride and fought back hard each time. Perhaps she learned how to perform under pressure from her father, Daniel O’Donnell, an actor who once played Bozo the Clown.

Oh, Carl

Carl Paladino, the headline-grabbing Republican gubernatorial candidate in New York, is under fire for calling New York Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand “Schumer’s little girl” — a reference to her close friendship with the state’s senior senator, Chuck Schumer.

Waiting ’til the last minute

Rep. Michele Bachmann isn’t quite sure that Minority Leader John Boehner would make a great Speaker of the House if Republicans take back control after Election Day.

In a radio interview, the Minnesota Republican said she’d have to weigh all the candidates before her and would vote for Boehner if he were the only candidate running.

Photo of the day: What’s in my drink?

Florida Democratic gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink seems a little unsure of taking a sip of her cafecito at a campaign stop at the Cuban Versailles restaurant Friday in Miami, Florida. Perhaps she got a text message warning her about it? Just joking. Check out the Getty Images photo.

Don’t mess with Biden’s hair

Comedian Jimmy Fallon took a cheap shot at Vice President Joe Biden’s hair last night, joking:

“During a campaign stop in New York this week Joe Biden said to a volunteer, ‘if I had your hair, I would have been president.’ In response the guy was like, ‘if I had your hair I wouldn’t bring up the subject of hair.’”

CNN’s Kristi Keck contributed to this report.

Campaign Circus: Hating Sarah Palin is genetic?

Gay candidate a front-runner in House race

Washington (CNN) — In a year when Democrats are widely considered politically handicapped, openly gay House candidate David Cicilline has bucked the trend in his race to represent Rhode Island’s 1st Congressional District.

Cicilline, the mayor of Providence, is up by double digits in the polls, holds a fundraising advantage against his competitor, Republican John Loughlin II, and has received a slew of endorsements.

And he has the help from the Democratic big guns. On Monday, President Obama stumped in the state for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, lending support for Cicilline, among others.

If elected, Cicilline, 49, would be one of four openly gay members of Congress — joining the ranks of Democratic Reps. Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, Barney Frank of Massachusetts and Jared Polis of Colorado (assuming they win their re-election bids).

Robin Brand, deputy executive director of the Gay and Lesbian Victory Fund, said her nonpartisan political action committee decided to endorse the mayor mainly because of his leadership track record.

Video: Democrat goes off on Obama

“He had been a successful state legislator, successful mayor and really came out of the starting gate as the front-runner in this race,” Brand said. “He is a really strong campaigner.”

But he still has work to do, according to the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.

The report deems the district “Lean Democrat.” It previously changed its ranking in September from “Likely Democrat” to “Lean Democrat” after Cicilline was forced to acknowledge that the city had “improperly given him pay raises as mayor between 2006 and 2009.”

It’s a point that Loughlin was able to capitalize on.

“David Cicilline illegally collected more than $20,000 in salary that he was not entitled to — and he only gave it back because he got caught,” Loughlin said at a press conference last week. “If we can’t trust him to watch our money in city hall, how can we trust him to watch our money in Washington?”

Read more of Loughlin’s comments

Cook Political Report points out that while Loughlin has begun to rip into Cicilline’s record as mayor, “Cicilline still enters the homestretch in reasonably good shape. … Loughlin doesn’t have a ton of money left, and Cicilline is ahead anywhere from one to two dozen points in public polling.”

Brand said that Cicilline’s record on gay and lesbian issues is hardly a reason why he may appeal to a large swath of Democratic voters in the district, a seat now held by Rep. Patrick Kennedy, a liberal Democrat, who isn’t seeking re-election.

Cicilline’s “focus has been on the issues that people care about right now, which is economic development and jobs,” she said. “He has a strong reputation for building Providence’s economy and I think that focus for him has really been what has propelled him to the front of this race and put him in a really strong position to win this seat on November 2.”

The state’s largest newspaper — The Providence Journal — is also supporting him.

The paper’s endorsement reads: “Mr. Cicilline has been an honest, energetic and often innovative mayor. … He has cleansed city government of much of its reputation for corruption and hired capable people. … He has brought a level of fiscal discipline (including in relations with the city’s far too powerful public-employee unions) that has not been seen in the city for many decades.”

Read more of the endorsement

Perhaps the most likely reason that Cicilline can win, Brand added, is that voters are less likely now to care about a candidate’s sexuality because of the economic problems facing the country.

Mr. Cicilline has been an honest, energetic and often innovative mayor.
–The Providence Journal endorsement

“Ultimately, voters vote for candidates who are going to help improve their lives. It doesn’t matter if you’re gay or lesbian,” she said. “If you’ve demonstrated that you’ve helped improve people’s lives on the issues they care about, our research shows that being openly gay or lesbian is really secondary to that.”

And that’s certainly the case for Laure Rondeau, an elderly Catholic woman in Providence, who told NPR that sexuality doesn’t play a factor in her vote.

“[Sexual orientation] doesn’t bother me at all,” Rondeau said in the interview. “He’s been a good mayor of Providence, and I think he’d do well in Congress.”

In many ways, his sexuality may be a plus to some voters angry at Washington’s backroom deals and candidates deemed distant, out of touch and dishonest, Brand said.

“It’s clear that it may not be easy to run as openly gay or lesbian, but they are being open and honest about who they are,” she said. “Voters really respect that, and I think that, in some ways, can really be an advantage especially in times like this.”

Across the country, another openly gay House candidate — backed by the Victory Fund — is hoping to ride that same wave.

Steve Pougnet, 47, the Democratic mayor of Palm Springs, California, is running against Republican Rep. Mary Bono Mack in the state’s 45th Congressional District.

While the incumbent’s poll numbers are high and fundraising dollars continue to pour in, political observers note that she faces a challenge this year from Pougnet — a well-liked politician who has a husband and two children.

The Cook Political Report rates the district “Likely Republican.”

“Bono Mack remains strong here because she is one of the most moderate members of the California delegation,” according to Cook’s analysis. “Now, they finally have a credible candidate in Palm Springs Mayor Steve Pougnet, who is receiving the kind of national support that past nominees have not enjoyed.”

The report goes on to say that Pougnet remains a “heavy underdog” because of the GOP lawmaker’s moderate voting record. (She was one of eight Republicans to vote for Democrats’ “cap and trade” energy bill.)

Gay candidate a front-runner in House race

Preston: Democrats prepare for the worst

Washington (CNN) — It has been said over and over again: The 2010 midterms is the anti-incumbent, anti-Washington and by virtue of their position in power, the anti-Democratic election.

A sputtering economy, 9.6 percent national unemployment rate, housing crisis and little hope for a quick turnaround on the jobs front has forced Democrats on the defense heading into November.

OK, that is an understatement.

Democrats are under siege all across the country and are in deep danger of losing control of the House and if a massive wave develops on November 2, perhaps even the Senate.

Fueled by a huge fundraising effort by the Republican Governors Association, the GOP is also in position to reclaim more than a half dozen governorships including in states that President Obama easily won in 2008 such as Iowa, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

The new CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation Polls offers data that shows Democrats running for Senate seats in four key states are in dire straits and a president with little juice to help propel them to victory.

Video: Candidates go silent

Video: Can write-in win Senate seat?

Video: Strickland, Kasich on Ohio race

In all four of these states: Alaska, Arkansas, Florida and Ohio, Obama’s job approval rating ranges from a low of 33 percent (Arkansas) to a high of 42 percent (Ohio). The anti-Washington, thus anti-Democratic, theme shines like a bright neon sign in each of these races.

And the GOP’s rubber stamp argument seems to be resonating with voters, whether it is true or not: Sending, say, Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln back to Washington means she will be a rubber stamp for Obama. Lincoln, who stuck to her centrist views and beat back a strong primary challenge from her political left earlier this year, is trailing her GOP opponent, Rep. John Boozman, by 14 points.

In Ohio, Democratic Senate nominee Lee Fisher is down 15 points to Republican Rob Portman. And in Florida, GOP Senate nominee Marco Rubio has a 26 point lead over Democrat Kendrick Meek in a three way race that also features Charlie Crist. Crist is running an independent bid for the Senate seat and trails Rubio by 14 points.

(The National Republican Senatorial Committee is also making the claim to West Virginia voters that the popular Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin would be a rubber stamp for Obama if elected to the Senate).

But the Democrats running for governor in three of four of these states surveyed by CNN/Time/OPR shows that these candidates are either competitive or leading in their individual races. Arkansas Gov. Mike Beebe has a 27-point lead over his GOP rival Jim Keet; Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland is up one point over Republican opponent John Kasich; and in the race for Florida governor, Democrat Alex Sink trails Republican Rick Scott by three points, which is within the poll’s 3.5 percent margin of error.

So, I think it is fair to say — outside of Alaska — that Democratic incumbents and candidates in these three states are not being stuck in the same category as their Democratic counterparts running for Senate. That is not to say the national mood is not having a negative affect on these Democrats, it just hasn’t been devastating.

As for the CNN/Time/OPR Poll, I dug a little deeper into the survey and found these interesting data points:

Alaska: Lisa Murkowski obviously faces a difficult challenge in having her supporters correctly write-in her name on the ballot on November 2. The poll shows that Murkowski and GOP nominee Joe Miller are tied at 37 percent, with Democratic nominee Scott McAdams registering support at 23 percent. But when respondents were asked if they might choose another candidate if they think the write-in procedure is too complicated, 3 percent answered yes. So, take that 3 percent away from Murkowski’s 37 percent and all of a sudden Miller is up three points. Murkowski is still within in the margin of error, but as CNN Polling Director Keating Holland noted “in a tight race, this might be the difference between winning and losing.”

Murkowski’s greatest support comes from Anchorage and the Panhandle, while Miller wins Fairbanks and the Anchorage area when you expand it beyond the city limits.

Arkansas: How troubling is this for Democrat Blanche Lincoln? She is losing the woman vote to Republican John Boozman by eight points. She performs strongest in the east, while Boozman wins every other region of the state.

Florida: Republican Marco Rubio is winning independents by four points over Charlie Crist, who is running an independent bid. Rubio’s lead is within the 6 percent margin of error. Rubio is also winning every corner of the state except southern Florida/Miami area where Crist holds a modest lead over the Republican nominee and the Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek. In the governor’s race, Democrat Alex Sink is losing every region to Republican Rick Scott, but is crushing him in the southern Florida/Miami area. Sink, too, has soft support with women. She leads Scott by five points with women voters, but that is within the 5 percent margin of error for that specific question.

Ohio: In the Senate contest, Democrat Lee Fisher is losing to Republican Rob Portman among men and woman and in every age category. Geographically, Fisher leads Portman in the Cleveland area by eight points, but that is within the 8.5 percent margin of error. Portman is winning in every other part of the state. As for the competitive governor’s race, Ted Strickland is winning women, while John Kasich wins men. Strickland has a 15-point lead over Kasich with voters who earn less than $50,000, while Kasich has an 11-point lead over Strickland with voters who earn more than $50,000. Kasich has an 11-point lead over Strickland with independents. As for geographic regions, Strickland is leading in the Cleveland area and the central part of the state (the latter is within the margin of error), while Kasich is carrying Cincinnati/Dayton and has a slight lead in Columbus. In the industrial north, the two candidates are dead even.

Preston: Democrats prepare for the worst

Bill Clinton stumps for former rival in California

Los Angeles, California (CNN) — Talk about burying the hatchet. When former President Bill Clinton turned out to rally for California Democratic gubernatorial nominee Jerry Brown on Friday night, the former rivals hugged and made up. Really, they embraced.

The two have a bitter political history dating to 1992, when they ran against each other in the Democratic presidential primary.

Back then, Brown earned Clinton’s animus by refusing to drop out until well after it was clear Clinton had locked up the nomination.

Speaking before a crowd on the campus of the University of California, Los Angeles, Brown heaped praise on the former president.

“Let me tell you about President Clinton. I don’t need to say much. Not only was he great in office, but he has been great after he left office,” Brown said. “He didn’t retire to Palm Springs to play golf, he’s out there doing stuff. He’s helping people in Haiti. He’s fighting AIDS.”

Video: Why the California race matters

Video: Clinton instead of Obama?

Video: 2 presidents on the trail

He cheered the former president for “motivating … the highest angles of our spirit.”

Clinton returned the favor, telling the crowd of screaming students, “I’ve known Jerry Brown for almost 35 years. When we were governors together, we strongly supported to push for green energy … he knew it was good economics when most people thought it was a fools errand.”

Reviewing Brown’s history as a two-term California governor, then mayor of Oakland and now attorney general, he enthused, “I watched him consistently choose the future over the present, but not take a meat axe to the present” insisting “that’s what you need now.”

Brown is in a tight race with former eBay CEO Meg Whitman, who has funded her campaign with more than $119 million of her own money.

It was Whitman who first brought Clinton into this race — when she ran an ad featuring old footage of then-Gov. Clinton ripping into Brown during the 1992 campaign.

A clearly irked Brown responded by making a snarky remark about Clinton’s honesty and tossing in a reference to the affair with Monica Lewinsky.

Brown later said he called Clinton’s office to apologize and the former president announced plans to endorse his old rival.

There were times during Clinton’s speech that Brown seemed to lose patience, staring at the ground or stonily straight ahead.

But there were no openly tense moments.

For most of his remarks, the former president talked about the economy, accusing Republicans of digging America into a fiscal ditch and insisting “the last thing you want to do is put the shovel brigade back in the hole.”

He made a special appeal to the crowd of mostly college students, imploring them “if young people vote as the same percentage of the electorate they did two years ago, then the good guys win.”

He also gave praise to the other candidate on the stage, lieutenant governor hopeful Gavin Newsom, who is a Clinton friend and a supporter of Hillary Clinton’s candidacy during the last election.

But Clinton offered a special compliment for Brown.

“He’s the only politician in America I’ve heard say this except me” and went on to insist that “as horrible” as the recession has been “when we come out of it, if we learn right lessons from it, we will be stronger for it.”

He criticized Whitman’s policy positions and closed with a Brown endorsement saying, “The candidates have radically different ideas: one will lead us to a brighter future and the other will lead us to a movie we’ve seen before.”

When they left the stage, the former adversaries went their separate ways. Brown walked off while Clinton worked the ropeline, crossing through the barricade and into the crowd to shake hands with just about every waiting visitor.

Bill Clinton stumps for former rival in California

Is Russ Feingold finished?

Milwaukee, Wisconsin (CNN) — It doesn’t get more outside the Beltway than Wisconsin Republican Senate candidate Ron Johnson.

“I’d never been to Washington D.C…. until this election. I’ve gone three times just to familiarize myself and meet with some groups. But that’s it,” Johnson said.

A millionaire businessman running in his first election, Johnson is favored to take down three-term Democrat Russ Feingold. A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey released this week shows Johnson with an eight point lead.

Don’t tell that to Feingold. At a fundraiser headlined by first lady Michelle Obama on Wednesday, Feingold boasted, “As of this moment I am no longer behind.” A Feingold campaign spokesman told CNN its own internal polling shows the race is much tighter.

In an interview with CNN, Feingold brushed off the latest polls. “See Washington always has to catch up with the reality on the ground in Wisconsin,” Feingold said.

Johnson owes much of his quick political success to the Tea Party. He picked up the support of the conservative movement earlier this year with fiery speeches at Tea Party rallies. “America needs to be pulled back from the brink of socialism and state control,” Johnson told a Tea Party crowd in Madison, Wisconsin, last May.

An unabashed conservative who runs a medical packaging company in Oshkosh, Johnson’s outrage over health care reform led him to run for the Senate. “I view that as the single greatest assault on our freedom in our lifetime,” Johnson said.

Johnson’s positions are straight out of the Tea Party movement: repeal health care reform, cut taxes, shrink government and oppose climate change legislation. “It’s unsettled science,” Johnson says of humanity’s effect on global warming.

Feingold has surprised many of his fellow Wisconsin liberals by making his own appeal for Tea Party votes.

“He’s for the Patriot Act. I’m the only guy who voted against the Patriot Act. He’s for these trade deals that shipped Wisconsin jobs overseas. I’m against them,” Feingold said. “I agree with (Tea Party voters) on many key issues.”

But Feingold voted in favor of health care reform. He’s one of the few Democrats running an ad touting his vote. “That’s something (Tea Party voters) don’t like,” Feingold said. “But you know why? Because they weren’t told the truth about what’s in it.”

An architect of campaign finance reform, Feingold is being hammered by outside special interest groups running TV ads and billboards opposing his campaign. Johnson is also spending millions of his own fortune on his bid.

“I gotta tell you the history of my races. Every time some super rich guy goes, ‘hey Feingold looks like easy pickins,’ but they haven’t gotten me yet. And they’re not gonna get me this time,” Feingold said.

It’s not clear whether the bombardment of campaign messaging is resonating with Wisconsin voters who worry about the economy.

James Farrell, a co-owner of a brick masonry company and a Johnson supporter, says his business has suffered in the recession.

“It’s hard to be in business anymore, and something’s gotta change or a lot of people won’t be in business,” Farrell said.

Johnson says his experience in running a manufacturing business is exactly what Washington needs.

“I’m just a guy from Oshkosh,” Johnson said.

Is Russ Feingold finished?

Reid faces tough fight at home

Henderson, Nevada (CNN) — It’s one of the most closely watched Senate races in the country — and for good reason. Majority Leader Harry Reid stands to lose his job representing Nevada — one he’s held since 1987 — to Republican Sharron Angle, a Tea Party favorite.

It’s a race too close to call. That’s why Reid will have his work cut out for him when he returns to his home state Tuesday for some good old-fashioned campaigning.

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll released September 15 finds the race between Reid and Angle to be statistically deadlocked, with 42 percent of likely voters supporting Angle and 41 percent backing Reid.

“This election is very important to me,” said Alfred Noble of Henderson, Nevada, a Las Vegas suburb. “I think Harry Reid is out of touch, and I think Sharron Angle is a little extreme, so I’m still up in the air about what to do.”

Henderson is in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a swing district where “everything’s going to come together,” according to David Damore, a University of Nevada, Las Vegas, political science professor.

Video: Momentum swings back to Dems?

Video: Reid calls Angle’s views extreme

Video: Angle challenges Reid

It seems even those in Henderson who support Reid haven’t been 100 percent satisfied with his governing, but they said he’s the lesser of two evils.

“I think he does need to focus a little more back on the state,” said Brian Manore, “but I think he’s done well, and I do not think that Sharron Angle is the answer.”

Mary Ann Brim said she feels there’s a “terrible, terrible hatred” in the air for Reid, but she said she isn’t sure why. She said those who vote for Angle purely because they don’t like Reid should reconsider.

“We stand to lose, I think, some power for the state,” Brim said. “[Some people are] so determined to dump Harry that they don’t realize that the alternative is very scary.”

Brim said her dislike of Angle stems from, among other things, comments the candidate has made surrounding the elimination of Social Security and other government programs.

“It’s like everybody is on the edge of rage, and it’s driving them to decisions that just don’t make sense,” she added.

But Tracy Romano said she appreciates Angle’s desire to shrink the federal bureaucracy. She said the candidate seems “real” and believes Angle when she says she’ll go to Washington and lower taxes.

Not surprisingly, her opinions of Reid play a factor as well.

“[He] hasn’t been good for our taxes, hasn’t been good for our home values, and he’s just basically gone with [President] Obama and [House Speaker Nancy] Pelosi on everything.”

One thing that everyone seems to agree on though is that the economy is the most important issue come Election Day. Nevada is home to the highest unemployment rate in the nation (14.4 percent) and highest foreclosure rate.

Many associate the poor economy with the politicians in power and blame them for not fixing the problem. That view is Reid’s biggest hurdle, and the Angle campaign’s recent focus on immigration and health care — as opposed to the economy — is a bad move, according to Damore, the political science professor.

“Any day that [the Angle campaign] is not talking about the economy is a win for Harry Reid,” Damore said.

Reid faces tough fight at home

Tea Party again demonstrates clout

(CNN) — The Tea Party movement basked in the glow of victory Wednesday after its favorites won primary elections in Delaware and New York the night before over more mainstream Republicans, demonstrating again the clout of the political right.

Now the question is whether the right-wing candidates can also defeat Democratic rivals in November’s congressional elections, when the stakes are higher and the full electorate is deciding.

Candidates backed by the Tea Party have won at least eight major GOP nomination fights across the country this year, in Alaska, Delaware, Florida, Kentucky, Nevada, New York, Pennsylvania and Utah. Tea Party candidates have also shown significant strength in numerous other state and local contests.

The results in Delaware and New York highlighted the last major day of primary voting before the upcoming election in just under seven weeks.

Voting in seven states and the District of Columbia included embattled veteran U.S. Rep. Charles Rangel’s victory in his New York Democratic primary despite allegations of ethics violations, and D.C. Mayor Adrian Fenty’s bid to hold off a major primary challenger.

In addition, former Gov. Robert Ehrlich won the Republican gubernatorial primary in Maryland to set up a rematch against Martin O’Malley, the Democrat who ousted him in 2006.

In Delaware, conservative political commentator Christine O’Donnell easily defeated nine-time U.S. Rep. Mike Castle in the Republican U.S. Senate primary, giving the Tea Party movement another major victory over a candidate backed by the national GOP.

“We the people will have our voice heard in Washington, D.C., once again,” a beaming O’Donnell told exuberant supporters at her victory party in Dover.

O’Donnell won more than 53 percent of the vote in the bitter campaign that displayed internal Republican warfare between conservative Tea Party supporters and the more moderate party structures.

Castle was backed by the national Republican Party, while O’Donnell received the endorsement of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as well as $150,000 in late funding from the Tea Party Express.

O’Donnell, running as a Washington outsider, insisted the Republican establishment was trying to drive her out of the race and hand victory to Castle, whom she refers to as “the anointed one.”

Video: O’Donnell thanks Palin in victory

Video: Rangel wins despite ethics charges

Video: Paladino accepts nod

Video: Lazio concedes to Paladino

In response, conservative stalwart Bill Kristol, who fears O’Donnell is incapable of winning the Senate seat in November, said: “I know Sarah Palin. I respect Sarah Palin. And with all due respect — Christine O’Donnell is no Sarah Palin.”

In her victory speech, O’Donnell made a plea for unity, saying: “If those same people who fought against me work just as hard for me, we will win.”

Later, she told CNN that she can win without the support of the national Republican Party.

“They don’t have a winning track record,” O’Donnell said of the national party. “If they’re too lazy to put in the effort that we need to win, then, so be it.”

The National Republican Senatorial Committee offered its congratulations to O’Donnell immediately after the result was determined.

“We congratulate Christine O’Donnell for her nomination this evening after a hard-fought primary campaign in Delaware,” said a statement by Rob Jesmer, the NRSC executive director.

However, a top Republican official told CNN Tuesday night that O’Donnell will have to show she can generate viable support before the national party will give her money.

“It is now incumbent on Sarah Palin, (U.S. Sen.) Jim DeMint and the Tea Party Express to help support her,” the official said on condition of not being identified by name. “They got her here. Now make it happen.”

O’Donnell told CNN’s “American Morning” Wednesday that she has not yet heard from top leaders in the Republican Party hierarchy.

“There are a lot of people rallying behind me who are frustrated that the Republican Party has lost its way. What you see in this race and then especially the attitude after our win is that, you know, the so-called leaders have been proven wrong. They got behind a candidate who didn’t even support our party principles, supported the liberals nearly 70 percent of the time some years. And they chose to get behind him because they were taking the easy way out.”

O’Donnell will face Democrat Christopher Coons, the New Castle County executive, in November for the seat formerly held by Vice President Joe Biden. This is O’Donnell’s third run for the U.S. Senate.

Coons took aim at O’Donnell on his website after her victory, saying “we face an ideology rather than a record.”

“O’Donnell will fight to roll back a woman’s right to choose and lead the charge against stem-cell research, falsely claiming that this ground breaking research exploits women. She has a record of supporting discrimination against gays and lesbians, and pressing for public schools to teach creationism,” he said.

O’Donnell, who told “American Morning” that the “biggest concern on everyone’s mind is how we’re going to get jobs to Delaware.”

But Coons says O’Donnell “has no plan for putting Delawareans back to work and wants to open our coastlines to more dangerous off-shore drilling risks.”

Commenting on the fact that Coons had a picture of O’Donnell on his website’s main page, she said, “I thank him for introducing me to the Democratic voters I have not met.”

In New York, conservative Carl Paladino defeated Rick Lazio in the Republican gubernatorial primary to set up a November showdown with Democrat Andrew Cuomo, the son of former Gov. Mario Cuomo. Paladino received Tea Party support in defeating Lazio, who also was supported by some conservative groups.

The New York governor’s post has proven hazardous in recent years. Gov. Eliot Spitzer resigned amid a prostitution scandal, and his successor, David Paterson, decided against running for another term due to allegations of wrongdoing involving World Series tickets and a domestic abuse case involving an aide.

In New Hampshire, conservative candidate Ovide Lamontagne saw an early lead vanish in his bid to upset former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, the candidate favored by establishment Republicans. The winner will run in November to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Judd Gregg.

Ayotte gave up her state post to run for the Senate nomination with encouragement from national Republicans. Considered the favorite in the seven-candidate contest for months, Ayotte instead found herself with a razor-thin lead over Lamontagne, a Manchester attorney and the 1996 Republican nominee for governor, with 85 percent of the returns counted.

Local Tea Party groups, the conservative New Hampshire Union Leader newspaper and DeMint, the influential conservative senator from South Carolina, all backed Lamontagne.

Unlike O’Donnell in Delaware, though, Lamontagne didn’t get Palin’s endorsement. Instead, Palin backed Ayotte, calling her a “Granite Grizzly” and “the true conservative running for the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire.”

However, Palin’s endorsement and Ayotte’s support from many national Republicans may have backfired in fiercely independent New Hampshire.

Victories by O’Donnell and Paladino, and the possibility of a triumph by Lamontagne in New Hampshire, showed the strength of the Tea Party within the political right, after similar results ousted GOP incumbents or insiders in Idaho and Alaska.

However, the Republican infighting also raised questions about GOP unity heading into November.

Rangel, meanwhile, received help from former President Bill Clinton in defeating five challengers in the Democratic primary for the House seat he has held for 40 years.

Despite allegations by the House ethics committee that Rangel committed financial wrongdoing and harmed the credibility of Congress, he raised more money than his opponents and easily won the vote in his Harlem district.

The situation was reversed in Washington, where Fenty swept into office in 2006 promising to fix the District of Columbia’s struggling schools. But it appeared Wednesday that he won’t have the chance to continue that work. CNN affiliate WUSA reported on its website that the mayor’s spokesman said he planned to call City Council Chairman Vincent Gray to concede the race. WUSA reported that with 90 percent of the votes counted, Fenty trailed Gray by more than 8,400 votes.

The mayor acknowledged the union opposition to his education reform efforts before the vote.

“We’ve got an uphill battle because we made tough decisions,” Fenty said. “We’ll continue to make those tough decisions because they’re right for the people. But we’re not naive. We know this has cost us a little political popularity that we came into the polls with.”

The race is being closely watched far beyond the District of Columbia because the outcome could carry significant implications for the national debate over education reform.

Fenty brought in Michelle Rhee as chancellor of D.C. Public Schools, and she has since become famous for changes that that have become a model of education reform advocated by the Obama administration.

Rhee shut down two dozen schools, fired hundred of educators — including more than 100 teachers this summer — for poor performance, and overhauled the teacher evaluation system to include, for the first time, student performance as a measure of success. Local and national teachers unions have fought her efforts.

CNN’s Jessica Yellin, Paul Steinhauser, Mark Preston, Kate Bolduan, Kevin Bohn, Mary Snow and Tom Cohen contributed to this report.

Tea Party again demonstrates clout

Final act begins in 2010 election

Washington (CNN) — The curtain slammed down on the 2010 primaries Tuesday night crushing centrist Republican Rep. Mike Castle and handing the Tea Party movement a final victory in its battle with the GOP establishment.

Castle’s upset loss to Tea Party favorite Christine O’Donnell was the exclamation point on a bitter and bruising primary season that saw seven incumbents lose re-election and angry political bases turn deaf ears to national leaders.

Republican Sens. Robert Bennett of Utah and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska fell to Tea Party candidates as did South Carolina GOP Rep. Bob Inglis. West Virginia Democratic Rep. Alan Mollohan could not convince voters to re-nominate him for a 15th term, while Michigan Democratic Rep. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick failed in her bid for an eighth term.

Party-switching Alabama Rep. Parker Griffith was unable to convince GOP voters he was a solid Republican, and Pennsylvania’s new Democratic Sen. Arlen Specter was unable to shed his longtime Republican political identity. And let’s not forget the Tea Party’s wins in primaries for open Senate seats in Colorado, Florida, and Kentucky.

Video: O’Donnell thanks Palin in victory

Video: Paladino accepts nod

Video: Rangel wins despite ethics charges

Video: Can Democrats sell success?

And then there was Castle, a soft-spoken former Republican governor turned nine-term congressman, who left the safety of his House seat to run for the Senate seat once held by Vice President Joe Biden. Castle was favored to win the general election, which would have handed the GOP a huge symbolic win. Instead, Castle lost, which now casts doubt over whether Republicans can win this contest.

Once O’Donnell was declared the winner, my friend Stuart Rothenberg, the respected non-partisan political analyst, immediately described Democratic Senate nominee Chris Coons as the favorite to win the race.

“Castle had broad appeal, including to independents and even Democratic voters, while O’Donnell’s appeal is limited to tea party conservatives,” Rothenberg wrote.

And Rothenberg is not the only one who thinks that the Tea Party’s efforts to defeat Castle — who they charge is a “RINO” (Republican In Name Only) — will likely hand Democrats a win in November. A top Republican official told me not to expect to see national Republicans rally around O’Donnell’s candidacy.

“Until she demonstrates some viability in the polls, we are not going to have any money for her,” said the official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. “It is now incumbent on Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint and the Tea Party Express to help support her. They got her here. Now make it happen.”

Castle is not technically considered an incumbent, but he fit the description of a Washington insider, had the backing of the national GOP and will go down in the history books as the Tea Party’s final GOP scalp of the 2010 primary season.

Now all eyes are focused on November 2, as Republican leaders try to harness the anger and energy of the Tea Party movement and translate it into electoral wins, while Democrats work to build a beachhead in an effort to minimize losses and maintain control of the House.

There is no question that Democrats will lose seats in the House and Senate this year, what remains unanswered is how many?

Republicans need a net pickup of 39 seats in the House to take back the majority, an achievable number if momentum continues to move in the GOP’s direction. It will be harder if not impossible to win the 10 seats needed to wrest control of the Senate from Democratic hands.

Democratic leaders and top party officials have been very clear about their strategy over the next seven weeks: Turn out voters who supported President Obama in 2008 and define each race on its own merits.

“Democrats will individualize each of these House races, make it about candidate A versus candidate B and when voters are left with that choice, Democrats will retain the House,” said Jennifer Crider, deputy executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

But Democrats will need help from the liberal Democratic base, which at times has been estranged from the national leadership, to help hold back the GOP wave that analysts predict will sweep across the nation.

The influential liberal blogger Markos Moulitsas Z

5 things to watch in today’s primaries

(CNN) — Tuesday’s round of primaries in seven states and Washington, D.C., is the last big event in the run-up to November’s midterm elections. Hawaii holds the last nominating contest of this election cycle on Saturday.

Here are five things to watch for in Tuesday’s races:

Ugliness in Delaware: The Tea Party Express poured money into the insurgent campaign of Christine O’Donnell. She is challenging longtime congressman and former Gov. Mike Castle, who is backed by the party establishment, in Delaware’s Republican Senate primary. In some of the most vicious campaigning seen so far this year, Castle supporters have attacked O’Donnell, accusing her of defaulting on personal bills and not paying income taxes — which she denies — and calling her “delusional.”

Establishment Republicans think they have a shot at picking up Vice President Biden’s old Senate seat if Castle, a former governor, is their candidate, but don’t stand a chance if O’Donnell wins the primary. But O’Donnell, who’s been endorsed by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, says the attacks have backfired and only intensified support around her.

The state GOP chairman said he had received death threats because of his support of Castle and had moved his family out of their home. O’Donnell condemned the threats.

CNN’s Jessica Yellin reports on the Delaware GOP Senate race

Not as ugly to the north: Palin also endorsed a candidate in New Hampshire’s GOP Senate primary but finds herself opposite other leading conservatives.

Palin is backing former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, whom she calls a “granite grizzly” in a robo-call that she recorded for the candidate. But other conservatives — including local Tea Party groups, influential Sen. Jim DeMint and the state’s largest newspaper, the Manchester Union Leader — are backing Ayotte’s opponent, Manchester attorney Ovide Lamontagne, who was the party’s nominee for governor in 1996.

Ayotte was encouraged to get into the race by national Republicans and has been the frontrunner in the seven-candidate field. But recent polls show Lamontagne closing the gap.

On Monday, Joseph McQuaid, the conservative publisher of the Union Leader, blasted outsider influence on the race. In a front-page editorial, McQuaid wrote that Lamontagne “has rallied New Hampshire grassroots conservatives while Ayotte has attracted the big-name, let’s-be-moderate types who want a candidate who will move to the squishy middle in November.”

CNN’s Paul Steinhauser previews the New Hampshire GOP Senate primary

Rangel’s toughest fight: Rep. Charlie Rangel has represented New York’s 15th Congressional District for 40 years, but with a trial on ethics violations pending in the House, the 80-year-old congressman has attracted five challengers hoping to unseat him.

Rangel is expected to stand trial later this month on allegations of income tax and financial disclosure violations and that he used his influence to solicit donations for a college policy center which bears his name. The accusations forced him to step down from his post as chairman of the powerful House Ways and Means Committee.

Among those challenging Rangel are state Assemblyman Adam Clayton Powell IV, son of the scandal-plagued former congressman whom Rangel unseated in 1970.

CNN’s Mary Snow reports on Rangel’s biggest challenge

Mayor’s race has national implications: First-term Washington Mayor Adrian Fenty’s tough re-election fight could carry implications for the national debate over education reform.

Fenty was elected in 2006 partly because of his promises to fix the district’s ailing schools. He brought in an aggressive reformer as his schools chancellor, who closed schools and fired hundreds of teachers.

While the schools still lag behind national averages, test scores have improved. But Chancellor Michelle Rhee has drawn the enmity of local and national teachers’ unions — and that, in part, has the incumbent trailing D.C. City Council Chairman Vincent Gray in polls just before the vote.

Education reform advocates fear that a Fenty loss will dissuade politicians across the country from pursuing similar aggressive efforts.

CNN’s Kate Bolduan looks at the D.C. mayor’s race

Other races

• In New York, Tea Party-backed Carl Paladino is challenging party favorite Rick Lazio in the GOP governor’s race. The winner will face Democrat Andrew Cuomo.

• In Wisconsin, there are competitive races in the Republican gubernatorial and Senate primaries.

• The Republican gubernatorial primary is the top race in Maryland.

• The Democratic primary in Massachusetts’ 10th Congressional District got national attention over the weekend when Norfolk District Attorney Bill Keating, who is facing state Sen. Rob O’Leary, chased down a purse snatcher from a restaurant.

For the latest primary news, go to CNN’s Political Ticker

5 things to watch in today’s primaries