Tag Archives: election

Dems look to curb expected losses

Washington (CNN) — Democrats know they are going to lose congressional seats in the November elections. The question is what can they do to minimize the damage?

With less than a month to voting day, even the most ardent Democrats conceded on Sunday talk shows that the outlook wasn’t rosy.

They differed on whether they can retain majorities in both the House and Senate, with the House considered more vulnerable, but all agreed there will be fewer of them working in Congress next year.

Republicans certainly believe it. Sen. John Cornyn of Texas, who chairs the National Republican Senatorial Committee, predicted a GOP “tsunami” at the polls.

While he declined to offer a specific prediction on CNN’s “State of the Union,” Cornyn added he expected a “good day” on November 2, adding: “I don’t know how high or how wide that tsunami will be, but I think it will be significant.”

His Democratic counterpart, Sen. Robert Menendez of New Jersey, warned on the same program against counting any electoral chickens before they hatch.

“With midterm election history, the president’s party, going to back to the Civil War, it means the president’s party loses seats,” conceded Menendez, who heads the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. “But the difference between a tsunami and losing some seats is the suggestion that they can take over the majority. That will not happen.”

Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, one of the most visible carriers of the Democratic banner, agreed that the Senate majority was safe, but he was unwilling to offer a similar guarantee for the House.

“I think we’re definitely going to keep the Senate,” Rendell said on the CBS program “Face the Nation.” “And I think we have a chance to win the House because I believe that Democrats, including the base, are starting to come back.”

Video: Momentum swinging back to Democrats?

From liberal to moderate, all the Democrats interviewed Sunday concurred that the party has to offer voters a unified message that clearly contrasts their agenda with what Republicans have done and are doing.

The goal, they said, is to energize the party’s liberal base and convince independents that it is Democrats looking out for working-class Americans while Republicans represent special interests and corporate fat cats.

One line of attack, already employed by Obama and other Democratic leaders, is to blame Republicans for deploying a strategy of congressional obstruction instead of trying to work out differences on major issues.

“They do not want America to succeed,” independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, a far-left liberal who sits with the Democratic caucus, told the CBS program. “They’re into politics.”

Asked if he meant such a harsh appraisal, Sanders responded: “I would say that, given the choice between regaining power or obstructing the initiatives that create jobs, that protect the American people, yes, I think gaining power is their major initiative.”

Democrats also have to put aside any internal debate over whether Obama’s administration and congressional leaders have too easily compromised away policies and provisions sought by the party’s progressive wing, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson said on “Face the Nation.”

“We should stop firing at each other; we’ve got enough people, the Republicans, firing at us already,” Richardson said. “We don’t need these divisions in the party.”

To Richardson, Obama has to lead the Democratic charge in the final weeks of campaigning to make sure voters understand the choice before them regarding economic policies and other key issues.

“It’s not enough to say, ‘OK, American people, give us credit because we Democrats prevented it from getting any worse,’ ” Richardson said of a standard message from Obama and Democratic leaders. “You’ve got to be positive. You’ve got to talk about jobs, and you’ve got to talk about the economy, and you’ve got to connect with people emotionally.”

Republicans are making Obama and his policies the issue of the campaign, even though it is not a presidential election year and all the races are at the statewide or district level.

“I think this election really is about the president’s agenda,” Senate candidate Rand Paul of Kentucky — who is backed by the Tea Party movement — said on “FOX News Sunday.” “Do you support the president’s agenda or do you not support it? I think his agenda’s wrong for America.”

On the same program, Paul’s Democratic opponent — state Attorney General Jack Conway — backed some Obama achievements, including health care reform, but adopted the stance of Republicans, including Paul, and some other Democrats on extending the Bush-era tax cuts to everyone.

Obama and Democratic leaders favor extending the lower tax rates to the 98 percent of people earning up to $200,000 a year as individuals or $250,000 as families, while letting the rates for the other 2 percent return to higher levels from the 1990s.

The president says it is too expensive for the government to borrow the additional $700 billion over 10 years needed to extend the tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans.

However, Conway agreed with Senate Republicans, who pledged a filibuster against allowing anyone’s tax rates to go higher, as well as some Senate and House Democrats unwilling to vote for what opponents would label a tax increase so close the November election.

“I think that raising taxes, we shouldn’t be doing it as we recover from recession,” Conway said Sunday.

Polls show Conway may be starting to erode a big lead by Paul, the Tea Party favorite who defeated a mainstream Republican candidate in the primary vote. To Richardson, such primary upsets by social conservatives such as Paul in Kentucky and Christine O’Donnell in Delaware present an opportunity for Democrats to highlight how the Tea Party influence has shifted the Republican agenda further to the right

“I also think we should take on the Tea Party,” he said on CBS. “For some reason everyone is scared of them. What they really want to do to this country when they talk about reducing deficits is they’re cutting into Medicare, Medicaid, firefighters, teachers, nurses, people’s benefits, Social Security.”

Cornyn, however, said the Tea Party movement is only expressing a deeper and wider political desire among the American people.

“They want us to stop the runway spending, the unsustainable debt, and they want to put America back to work,” Cornyn said on CNN. “And they see the big-government American policies of the last year and a half being an impediment to job creation in America.”

Another Republican, Sen. John Thune of South Dakota, said the new faces in Congress after November will bring an unpredictable atmosphere.

“There are going to be a lot of new faces and probably some pretty strongly-held views,” Thune said on the C-SPAN program “Newsmakers.” “We’ll see how that works.”

Dems look to curb expected losses

Jobs loom over Obama’s talk of wars, peace

(CNN) — Foreign policy may be the focus of President Barack Obama’s address to the U.N. General Assembly on Thursday, but domestic concerns will continue to remain in the forefront for many White House aides.

When Obama steps to the podium in New York, he will seize a unique opportunity to update the American public — and the broader international community — on the administration’s overseas priorities, according to White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs.

Among the topics likely to be covered: the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, nuclear nonproliferation efforts in Iran and North Korea, and “real opportunities” to achieve “a lasting peace in the Middle East.”

But how much do people back home care? And — perhaps more important — will yet another day focused on foreign policy hurt Democrats’ efforts to convince voters that economic recovery is really their top priority?

With the nation’s unemployment rate stuck stubbornly close to double digits, a stronger economy remains the key issue in the looming midterm elections. Fewer than one in five Americans consider the economy to be in good shape, according to a September 1-2 CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll. Eighty-one percent characterize economic conditions as poor.

Roughly half of all Americans believe the economy is as bad or worse than it was two years ago, when Obama was running for president.

Nearly 60 percent of Americans disapprove of the administration’s handling of the economy.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Adding to Obama’s woes: turmoil with his economic team. The White House announced Tuesday that Larry Summers, the president’s top economic adviser, will return to academia at the end of the year.

The announcement followed July’s departure of Budget Director Peter Orszag and the exit this month of former Council of Economic Advisers chief Christina Romer.

And while some analysts may give Obama credit for winding down the Iraq war or launching a new round of Israeli-Palestinian peace talks — both issues tied to the broader struggle against terrorism — there’s scant evidence voters are impressed.

Americans surveyed in the poll gave Republicans a 20-point edge — 54 to 34 percent — on the question of which party can do a better job handling terrorism. They split virtually evenly, favoring Republicans 45 to 42 percent, when asked which party can do a better job handling the war in Afghanistan.

Despite those numbers — and the critical importance of economic issues — Obama may still be hoping to find a degree of political solace in international affairs.

“Traditionally, presidents who have faced problems in their domestic agenda have turned to foreign policy to shore up their standing with the public,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland notes.

“Previous presidents have found that acting as commander in chief, in an arena where they can act largely unchecked by Congress, has served them well. Obama may be facing a different environment in 2010, but he’s using the same playbook that most of his predecessors have since World War II.”

Nevertheless, the White House plans to quickly remind voters more worried about pocketbook issues that the president has not forgotten their concerns. Obama is set to return to the subject of the economy next week when he travels to New Mexico, Wisconsin, Iowa and Virginia.

While in Wisconsin, he’ll also raise funds for U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, who is suddenly facing a tough re-election race.

In short: Obama’s U.N. visit may be the focus of discussion on Thursday, but the economy is far more likely to remain in the headlines in the dwindling stretch run to Election Day.

Jobs loom over Obama’s talk of wars, peace

Delaware Senate candidates set stage for November

(CNN) — Delaware voters were treated to a markedly different tone Thursday night as they watched their two Senate candidates together for the first time since the primaries.

During a candidate’s forum, Republican Christine O’Donnell and Democrat Chris Coons displayed little of the animosity that came to define O’Donnell’s bitter primary battle with Rep. Mike Castle.

Rather, the night was marked by polite discourse and even agreement as the two candidates sought to lay out their position on many key issues.

Their messages did diverge, however, as the two sought to define their political narratives.

Coons, a county executive, repeatedly brought up his political know-how, saying in his opening statement that he had the “value, skills and experience” needed in a senator.

Delaware’s next senator should be someone who is prepared, who has concrete ideas and who is ready, willing and able to get our economy back on track, to restore America’s middle class, to revitalize manufacturing,” Coons said.

Video: GOP unhappy with O’Donnell?

Video: GOP’s political mystery money

O’Donnell, meanwhile, portrayed herself as a “hard-working average citizen who understands what it’s like to fall on hard economic times.”

The conservative commentator and marketing consultant has never held an elected office. She became the latest Tea Party-backed candidate this election season to defeat an incumbent candidate after she easily beat Castle, a moderate Congressman and former governor. The primaries were held Tuesday.

“As we approach the general election over the next month and a half, it’s my goal for you to get to know who I am, and why I’m running in this race, and why I’m asking for your vote on November 2,” O’Donnell told the standing-room only crowd.

O’Donnell has received an outpouring of national attention from conservative groups and heavyweights, including the Tea Party Express and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

At the forum, O’Donnell expressed her gratitude for the national support, and lamented her own state party’s failure to get behind her candidacy. The Delaware Republican Party backed Castle in the primary, and has yet to publicly embrace their new candidate.

“I am fighting two political parties here in Delaware. Our political system has become an entrenched system. My goal is to open up the political process to ‘we the people’ where you get to decide based on the policies who you want to represent you in Washington, D.C., not who a party has anointed you,” O’Donnell said.

Polls suggested that Castle would have been favored in the general election battle over Coons, but with O’Donnell as the party’s nominee, surveys indicate that Coons is now considered to have the advantage.

Delaware Senate candidates set stage for November

5 things to watch in today’s primaries

(CNN) — Tuesday’s round of primaries in seven states and Washington, D.C., is the last big event in the run-up to November’s midterm elections. Hawaii holds the last nominating contest of this election cycle on Saturday.

Here are five things to watch for in Tuesday’s races:

Ugliness in Delaware: The Tea Party Express poured money into the insurgent campaign of Christine O’Donnell. She is challenging longtime congressman and former Gov. Mike Castle, who is backed by the party establishment, in Delaware’s Republican Senate primary. In some of the most vicious campaigning seen so far this year, Castle supporters have attacked O’Donnell, accusing her of defaulting on personal bills and not paying income taxes — which she denies — and calling her “delusional.”

Establishment Republicans think they have a shot at picking up Vice President Biden’s old Senate seat if Castle, a former governor, is their candidate, but don’t stand a chance if O’Donnell wins the primary. But O’Donnell, who’s been endorsed by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, says the attacks have backfired and only intensified support around her.

The state GOP chairman said he had received death threats because of his support of Castle and had moved his family out of their home. O’Donnell condemned the threats.

CNN’s Jessica Yellin reports on the Delaware GOP Senate race

Not as ugly to the north: Palin also endorsed a candidate in New Hampshire’s GOP Senate primary but finds herself opposite other leading conservatives.

Palin is backing former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, whom she calls a “granite grizzly” in a robo-call that she recorded for the candidate. But other conservatives — including local Tea Party groups, influential Sen. Jim DeMint and the state’s largest newspaper, the Manchester Union Leader — are backing Ayotte’s opponent, Manchester attorney Ovide Lamontagne, who was the party’s nominee for governor in 1996.

Ayotte was encouraged to get into the race by national Republicans and has been the frontrunner in the seven-candidate field. But recent polls show Lamontagne closing the gap.

On Monday, Joseph McQuaid, the conservative publisher of the Union Leader, blasted outsider influence on the race. In a front-page editorial, McQuaid wrote that Lamontagne “has rallied New Hampshire grassroots conservatives while Ayotte has attracted the big-name, let’s-be-moderate types who want a candidate who will move to the squishy middle in November.”

CNN’s Paul Steinhauser previews the New Hampshire GOP Senate primary

Rangel’s toughest fight: Rep. Charlie Rangel has represented New York’s 15th Congressional District for 40 years, but with a trial on ethics violations pending in the House, the 80-year-old congressman has attracted five challengers hoping to unseat him.

Rangel is expected to stand trial later this month on allegations of income tax and financial disclosure violations and that he used his influence to solicit donations for a college policy center which bears his name. The accusations forced him to step down from his post as chairman of the powerful House Ways and Means Committee.

Among those challenging Rangel are state Assemblyman Adam Clayton Powell IV, son of the scandal-plagued former congressman whom Rangel unseated in 1970.

CNN’s Mary Snow reports on Rangel’s biggest challenge

Mayor’s race has national implications: First-term Washington Mayor Adrian Fenty’s tough re-election fight could carry implications for the national debate over education reform.

Fenty was elected in 2006 partly because of his promises to fix the district’s ailing schools. He brought in an aggressive reformer as his schools chancellor, who closed schools and fired hundreds of teachers.

While the schools still lag behind national averages, test scores have improved. But Chancellor Michelle Rhee has drawn the enmity of local and national teachers’ unions — and that, in part, has the incumbent trailing D.C. City Council Chairman Vincent Gray in polls just before the vote.

Education reform advocates fear that a Fenty loss will dissuade politicians across the country from pursuing similar aggressive efforts.

CNN’s Kate Bolduan looks at the D.C. mayor’s race

Other races

• In New York, Tea Party-backed Carl Paladino is challenging party favorite Rick Lazio in the GOP governor’s race. The winner will face Democrat Andrew Cuomo.

• In Wisconsin, there are competitive races in the Republican gubernatorial and Senate primaries.

• The Republican gubernatorial primary is the top race in Maryland.

• The Democratic primary in Massachusetts’ 10th Congressional District got national attention over the weekend when Norfolk District Attorney Bill Keating, who is facing state Sen. Rob O’Leary, chased down a purse snatcher from a restaurant.

For the latest primary news, go to CNN’s Political Ticker

5 things to watch in today’s primaries

Officials: Goolsbee gets economic post

Washington (CNN) — President Obama could announce as early as Friday morning that he will tap Austan Goolsbee to be chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, according to two senior administration officials familiar with the announcement.

Goolsbee will replace Christina Romer, who stepped down earlier this month as chairwoman of the CEA, a panel of three White House officials who offer the president economic advice and help formulate policy. Goolsbee and Cecilia Rouse are the other two members.

It’s a crucial job as the Obama administration continues to try and dig out of the worst recession since the Great Depression on the eve of a midterm election in which Democrats find the economic anxiety threatening their majorities in the House and Senate.

But Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Larry Summers, chairman of the White House’s separate National Economic Council, are still the most senior members of the economic team. Senior administration officials note the never-shy Goolsbee has previously clashed with Summers in private over policy, but the officials said that those discussions were spirited but also professional.

Goolsbee has been a trusted adviser to Obama since the 2008 campaign and is known for being aggressive about challenging Republican criticism of White House economic policy, striking a tone that’s similar to the strident approach Obama took Wednesday when he delivered a speech in Cleveland accusing House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, of failing to offer any new ideas to deal with the crisis.

In addition to serving under Romer as a member of the Council of Economic Advisers, Goolsbee has also had the title of chief economist for the president’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board, a group of nongovernment officials like former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker that has been advising Obama on efforts to dig out of the economic slump.

Two senior administration officials said the plan is for the White House to officially announce Goolsbee’s elevation Friday, when Obama holds his first full-scale news conference since May. Obama is expected to open the event, at 11 a.m. in the East Room, with comments on the economy and may mention the appointment.

The financial crisis is the dominant issue heading into the November 2 midterm election. In his Cleveland speech, Obama unveiled three new proposals to spark the economy: a $200 billion tax cut that would allow businesses to write off 100 percent of expenses for new plants and equipment, a $100 billion business tax credit for research and developments costs and $50 billion in infrastructure spending.

But several senior officials acknowledged privately it is unlikely that the House and Senate will deal with those proposals until after the election. If Republicans take control of either or both chambers in the election, they will likely draft much different economic proposals when the new Congress opens next January.

Officials: Goolsbee gets economic post

To-do list: Your ideas for Obama, GOP

(CNN) — Strategists on both sides of the political aisle weighed in this week on what President Obama and Republicans must do before the November midterms to give their parties a boost.

The 10-week to-do lists resulted in thousands of comments and suggestions from CNN readers, ranging from constructive to highly critical.

Readers suggested Obama look for a new job and put a muzzle on Vice President Joe Biden, while commenters providing advice for the GOP recommended a muzzle for former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

Mouth guards aside, readers also offered up practical guidance for Obama and the GOP. Here are some of the suggestions:

1. For Obama: Govern from the center

CNN readers say they want to see Obama get behind a more bipartisan agenda. The No. 1 thing they want to see is job creation, and they don’t want partisan games to get in the way.

Commenters advised Obama to not be influenced by those on the far left and instead focus on what the American public wants.

2. Tout the administration’s accomplishments

Supporters of the health care legislation passed this year say they’re proud of it — and they want Obama to talk about it more. “Talk up Healthcare, because so many supported the bill!” one commenter suggested.

Strategists’ advice for Obama

1. Simplify the message
2. Channel Ronald Reagan
3. Propagandize the truth
4. Go on the offense
5. Put up a fight
6. Be positive
7. Look to the future, not the past
8. Pay attention to independents
9. Be prepared for Election Day …
10. … but don’t stop at November
Read more

Obama signed the health care bill in March after a long, emotional debate in Congress. Now that the dust has settled, backers of the bill want to hear all about it.

“Talk about what you have done, and what you would like to do, and why,” another reader wrote.

3. Rise above the partisan bickering

“Quit politicking which further divides our nation,” one commenter posted.

Readers say they are sick of partisan games getting in the way of action on Capitol Hill — and they want the administration to stay out of the mudslinging.

4. Shake up the staff

Commenters are ready for some fresh faces. Even those supportive of Obama say they are ready for him to reload the strategy and bring in some new staffers.

Strategists’ advice for Republicans

1. Focus on jobs, jobs, jobs
2. Become the party of solutions, not “no”
3. Don’t stop thinking about tomorrow
4. Offense is the best defense
5. Offer a “Contract with a America” Part II
6. Embrace tea party support with caution
7. Avoid social issues
8. Appeal to independents
9. Channel Bill Clinton (yes, Bill Clinton)
10. Turn the Bush blame game around
Read more

5. Stay out of local issues

Readers say the want to see more presidential leadership from Obama. They want him to avoid getting involved with local issues and distractions and focus on the job at hand.

“Be a leader, be positive, plan for success, stay focused,” one reader said.

1. For Republicans: Steer clear of the far right commentators

Rush Limbaugh, Glenn Beck and Ann Coulter are doing more harm than good for the GOP, some commenters warned.

Readers say they want Republicans to avoid accepting what’s meant to be shock-jock entertainment as sound advice for the party.

2. Keep religion out of politics

“I’m a conservative person, and I’m all for people believing what they want to, but please keep it out of your politics,” one commenter posted.

Readers say they want Republicans to focus on issues such as jobs and the economy instead of trying to prove who is the better Christian.

3. Be conservative, but be bipartisan

Some commenters say that while they like conservatives, not all Republicans fit the bill. Readers say they want lawmakers to stick to their conservative ideas, with an understanding that working with Democrats instead of against them will be more productive.

4. Represent your constituents, not your party’s agenda

“The only thing I want to see from either party is a return to REPRESENTING THEIR CONSTITUENTS, not their party,” a reader said. “When your constituents in large numbers oppose a bill, your obligation is to them.”

“I’m tired of politicians being elected and then ignoring what their constituents want or don’t want. Suddenly the only thing they care about is party support,” the reader continued.

Commenters want their elected officials to listen to them instead of being afraid of breaking with the party.

“Show the American people that you’re capable of putting them ahead of your party,” one person said.

5. Tell the voters what will be different if Republicans take power

“Republicans are going to take back the House and Senate, and it will change absolutely nothing,” one reader said, arguing that both parties are controlled by special interests.

Voters want to know how things would change if Republicans had the majority.

Do you have more suggestions for President Obama or lawmakers? Weigh in below.

To-do list: Your ideas for Obama, GOP

10 things Obama must do in 10 weeks

(CNN) — President Obama is facing criticism that his message has gone off track at a crucial time for his party and administration. With the midterm elections just 10 weeks away, the president’s approval ratings are at their lowest. Analysts are predicting big wins for Republicans in November.

Ten weeks is an eternity in politics, and Republican and Democratic strategists say there are some key things Obama can do in the final stretch to restore the confidence of the American people and minimize expected losses for his party.

1. Simplify the message

Candidate Obama inspired voters in the 2008 election with a simple message of hope and change. Halfway through his term, the president now faces the complex reality of governing.

Despite the administration’s full plate, strategists say Obama needs to return to the focus and discipline that helped him win the presidency.

Coming Tuesday

10 things Republicans can do in the 10 weeks before Election Day

“That means less Professor Obama, more President Obama. It means fewer distinctions and shorter paragraphs,” said David Morey, a communications expert who advised Obama’s 2008 campaign.

“What should the message be? There should be three messages: Jobs, jobs, jobs,” he added.

Christopher Arterton, professor of political management at George Washington University, advised Obama to drop the soaring rhetoric and focus on more low-level policy stops.

“It’s a question of every day doing something on the economy and making sure that the news headlines are related to that,” he said.

2. Channel Ronald Reagan

Ronald Reagan, known as the “great communicator,” put communications front-and-center, Morey said.

“He focused and simplified the message. He communicated it. He built a consensus. He defined America’s role in the world, and that’s the challenge here,” he said.

Once Obama has honed his message, he should take it directly to the people in news conferences, said Morey, vice chairman of the Core Strategy Group.

“Nobody was better at that. I’m not sure why somebody with that intellect and those communications talents should be so tightly scripted.”

3. Propagandize the truth

“There is a great hunger for leaders who can rise above the political pettiness and tell the truth,” Morey said, pointing to New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie as an example.

Video: Dean: ‘Obama is showing strength’

Video: Democrats fight for their jobs

Christie, a Republican, defeated Democrat Gov. Jon Corzine last year, becoming the first Republican governor of the state since 1997.

Since then, Christie has slashed the state’s budget and proved he doesn’t answer to his party alone. So far, the voters like him for it. A Quinnipiac survey released last week shows 61 percent of independents approve of how he’s handling his job.

A governor who tests GOP strategy

4. Go on the offense

“With barely an exception, the administration should stop equivocating, parsing and reacting,” Morey said.

In an era of 24/7 analysis on the television and online, it’s easy for a president to get caught up in the day-to-day distractions and mudslinging.

When sideshow issues pop up, the president must rise above them.

“I think it’s time to do the thing he does in 2008 better than any candidate I’ve ever seen — transcend,” Morey said.

“Ignore your opponents, ignore cable TV, ignore the extreme left and right. And play your game. Fight your fight for this election.”

5. Put up a fight

“This election, for better or for worse, depends on how hard the president fights between now and Election Day,” former Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean said Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

The president sets the tone, Dean said, “and for the president to be out there fighting, as he has been for the last two or three weeks, and sounding like Harry Truman, people love that stuff. They want to see a fighter. They want to see strength in their leaders, and I think President Obama is showing that strength.”

Despite the president’s low job-approval ratings, polls show most people like him personally. And, Arterton notes, Obama’s fundraising ability is a big boost for Democratic candidates.

6. Be positive

The American people want to hear what Obama is for instead of what he’s against, said Ron Christie, a Republican strategist who worked in the Bush administration from 2001 to 2004.

Disenchantment with Washington is high, and voters are looking to be inspired instead of angered.

“Stress why your vision, your leadership, your policies will benefit the American people and why the American people should have trust and confidence in your policies and positions,” said Christie, founder of the communications firm Christie Strategies.

“If they do that, that could minimize some of the expected losses. If they don’t, I think people will tune it out. I think people will recognize more of the same, and I think Democrats will be severely punished at the polls.”

7. Look to the future, not the past

Obama likes to point the finger at Republicans and the Bush administration for “driving the economy into a ditch.”

While that can be part of his message, it shouldn’t be the whole thing, Morey said.

“Elections ultimately are about the future, not the past. The Democratic Party is going to have to get onto the future jobs-centric growth plan,” he said. “They can start with a question of the past, but boy, that’s not a way to win an election, and it’s certainly not a way to govern once you win an election.”

8. Pay attention to independents

It’s necessary to fire up the base, but the independents are the ones with the power to swing the election.

“You are going to have your Republicans that support the Republican candidates. You are going to have the Democrats that support the Democratic candidates. The question really becomes what is the mood of the independents,” Christie said.

A Gallup poll released last month showed independents are leaning toward Republican candidates by a 12-point margin.

“The current snapshot has a clear message: Democrats should be afraid, very afraid,” John Avlon wrote in a column for CNN.com.

9. Be prepared for Election Day …

The party in power usually loses seats in midterm elections. The question this year is, “How many?”

If Democrats lose control of the House — or if their majority is just weakened — Obama should be prepared to do what President Bush and President Clinton did when their parties suffered big losses. They took responsibility and showed a willingness to reach across the aisle.

In 1994, Republicans took back control of the House and Senate for the first time in more than 40 years, picking up 40 seats in the House and eight in the Senate.

The best CEOs are able to get people looking beyond their quarterly earnings and even their annual performances.
–David Morey, communications expert

“I’m the president. I’m the leader of the efforts that we have made in the last two years, and to whatever extent we didn’t do what the people wanted us to do or they were not aware of what we had done, I must certainly bear my share of responsibility,” Clinton said the following day.

Twelve years later, when Democrats took back both chambers, Bush admitted his disappointment and said, “The message yesterday was clear: The American people want their leaders in Washington to set aside partisan differences.”

Whatever happens at the polls, Obama will need to digest the message from the public and adapt accordingly.

“President Obama has to heed the message that voters send him,” Christie said. “He’s not the Democratic president or the Republican president — he is the president of the American people.”

10. … but don’t stop at November

“This is the most important election in American history because it’s the next election, which is always true,” Arterton said.

Though a lot has changed since Obama was elected, he’s not even halfway through his term. The midterms are important, but no matter what the outcome, Obama will still be president for another two years, and it’s up to him to get the public focused on the future of the country and not politics.

“The best CEOs are able to get people looking beyond their quarterly earnings and even their annual performances,” Morey said.

“He needs to get people looking beyond the daily, monthly polling and even beyond this midterm election.”

10 things Obama must do in 10 weeks

Biden: Democrats will keep the House and Senate

(CNN) — Vice President Joe Biden had a strong message for fellow Democrats on Friday: After Election Day, expect to keep a majority in Congress.

“I’m here to tell you that on November 3, the day after this coming election, there will be in Washington, D.C., a Democratic majority in the House and a Democratic majority in the Senate,” Biden said at the Democratic National Committee’s summer meeting in St. Louis, Missouri. He joked, “and were it not illegal, I’d make book on it!”

Paraphrasing Mark Twain, the vice president said that reports of the death of the Democratic Party have been greatly exaggerated.

Polls have shown that congressional Democrats are facing an uphill challenge this year. Biden said that a large part of that has to do with Americans blaming their problems on the people at the top.

“Many [Americans] are stripped of their dignity. And they look out there, and they focus on the only person who’s there, the only one they see — and that’s the president of the United States and the Democratic Congress.”

But come Labor Day, he said, Americans are going to begin to compare the two parties and see major differences.

“When they start to look at the alternative, they’re going to see, and I’m going to get in trouble for saying this … this ain’t your father’s Republican Party. This is the Republican Tea Party,” he said to loud applause.

“The Republican Party of 2010 is the party of repeal and repeat,” he added. “Repeat the old practices of the past. I believe it’s out of step where the American people are. It’s our job between now and the election to draw those distinctions.”

Republicans have consistently hit back at Democrats, saying they are pursuing policies of big government and wasteful spending. GOP leaders argue that the American public, as witnessed in the polls and at Tea Party rallies across the country, are angry at the Democrats and want a change.

Biden: Democrats will keep the House and Senate

Wedge issues angering independents

Washington (CNN) — The current ruckus over building an Islamic center and mosque near ground zero, calls to change the 14th Amendment and other so-called “wedge” issues are roiling up each party’s base, but they’re turning off independents, analysts say.

“This is party politics as usual with respect to all of these wedge issues,” said Jacqueline Salit, president of independentvoting.org, a national strategy and organizing center for independents. “I think there’s more and more of a steady recognition that these kind of wedge issues and political manipulation, sensationalism and opportunism is exactly what is degrading the American political process and our democracy.”

Salit, who is also the executive editor of The Neo-Independent magazine, said that people are having a hard time understanding what’s happening with the economy because of partisanship.

“I think people can’t tell what’s going on because the political environment is so polluted by partisanship,” she said. “The parties are trying to change the subject from things they think can inflame voters on and win elections on. How does that help the country? That hurts the country. And that’s what independents are deeply concerned about.”

Independents are increasingly concerned by both parties, and it’s evident in recent polls.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll from late June found that nearly six in 10 independent voters said they are angry at both parties, with 4 percent angry only at the GOP and 6 percent mad only at Democrats. Just over three in 10 say they are not angry at either party.

Read more about the poll

Gallup Poll numbers from July indicate that while registered independent voters prefer Republican congressional candidates to Democratic ones, there is also some uncertainty.

“Currently about one in five independent registered voters are undecided or prefer a candidate from outside the two major parties, suggesting the potential for movement in these numbers between now and Election Day,” according to Gallup’s analysis. “The preferences of these voters, as well as which independents turn out on Election Day, will have a major impact on the direction and magnitude of seat change in the midterm elections.”

Independent voters often side with Republicans on fiscal issues and Democrats on social issues. But with the economy as issue No. 1, appealing to the influential voting bloc will be essential for Democrats as the midterm election approaches.

Bringing up divisive issues that distract from fixing the country’s economic woes will only create cracks in the bridge between the two major parties and independents, said Omar H. Ali, an independent voting analyst and professor at the University of North Carolina-Greensboro.

“Right now, there is a movement for nonpartisan reform in America and independents are leading that movement,” Ali said. “In some ways, this issue with the mosque is the latest attempt of trying to gain partisan interest against the Democrats. … But Democrats do the same thing to the Republicans [on other issues.]“

Independents, he said, are the watchdogs and “conscience of America” when it comes to issues like the economy. The blame game over who caused the economic recession only highlights what is wrong in American politics today, Ali said.

“Americans generally are very concerned about the economic state of the nation with rising unemployment and joblessness,” he said. “Independents feel that way but they’re much more attuned to the fact that economic downturn is connected to a poor political process, which keeps power concentrated in the hands of deeply partisan interests — namely the two major parties.”

While independents are generally turned off by partisan politics, they are not immune from weighing in on controversial issues.

Seventy percent of independents oppose the plan to build the Islamic center and mosque near ground zero, according to a recent CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll. By contrast, 54 percent of Democrats and 82 percent of Republicans opposed the plan.

The same poll also found a clear partisan divide on changing the Reconstruction-era 14th Amendment, which guarantees equal protection of law and defines who is a U.S. citizen. Fifty-eight percent of Republicans support a change while 39 percent of Democrats do so. Independents are split 50-50.

Read more about the poll

But the issue that most independents are concerned about pertains to political reform.

“There’s a lot of controversy, for example, around a whole set of political reform issues, which are the very things independents are concerned with — like open primaries and nonpartisan elections,” Salit said. “In state after state, independents are barred from voting in first-round primaries.”

Ali said having nonpartisan elections, ballot access reform and referendums are essential things for independents like himself.

“These are structural issues that go to the heart of the process and independents for over a quarter century have been voicing their concerns.”

Wedge issues angering independents

General election already under way in Washington Senate race

(CNN) — Voters in Washington state and Wyoming hold primaries Tuesday, with the Senate contest in Washington and a battle for the open Wyoming governor’s seat the most closely watched races of the day.

In Washington, Democratic Sen. Patty Murray and Republican candidate Dino Rossi are expected to emerge from a crowded primary field, setting up a November showdown. Under the state’s system, the two candidates who receive the most votes regardless of party affiliation move on to the general election. Voting has been underway for two weeks, with Washington primarily a mail-in ballot state.

In many ways, Murray and Rossi have already begun their general election campaigns, focusing their attacks on each other. Polls show a close race in the fall if they both advance.

Nathan Gonzales, political editor of the Rothenberg Political Report, said the system gives “a sneak preview of what a head-to-head race (in the fall) will look like.” But he cautions that analysts “should pause before drawing too many conclusions” on what the numbers from a primary race say about November.

For Rossi, this is the third run for statewide office in the last six years after twice losing close races for governor to Democrat Christine Gregoire. “Rossi’s past cuts both ways,” Gonzales said. “It gives him name recognition that can be expensive to get, but brings some of the dirty laundry that’s been aired in the past races.”

Among Republicans also running are conservatives Paul Akers and former NFL tight end Clint Didier. Didier has the backing of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who has recorded a robocall on his behalf. The Seattle Times reports Palin said in the call that “unlike establishment candidates who just talk about lower taxes, Clint has signed a pledge to do so.”

Murray is seeking a fourth term in the Senate and, as in her two previous re-election bids, she is a target of national Republicans. The Rothenberg Political Report rates the race a toss-up/tilt Democrat in the fall, but Gonzales said Republicans are optimistic they can change the outcome.

“It’s all about the cycle,” Gonzales said. “A majority of Americans are dissatisfied and looking for change. This is a year to tap in, in places like the Northwest where’s it been difficult in recent years.”

President Barack Obama will be in Seattle, Washington, on Tuesday appearing at a fundraiser for Murray. “Murray understands she’s a target,” said Gonzales, who added that the fundraiser is about getting “resources necessary to get her message out.”

While some Democrats have chosen not to appear alongside Obama, Gonzales noted that, “Republicans will try to tie Murray to Obama no matter what she does, so she might as well have the money to defend herself.”

The Washington secretary of state is predicting a 38 percent turnout in the primary, with voters allowed to drop off ballots until 8 p.m. PT on Tuesday.

In Wyoming, Republicans are hoping to reclaim the governor’s mansion as Democrat Dave Freudenthal leaves office. Seven Republicans are competing for the GOP nomination, while five Democrats are running for their party’s nod.

A Mason-Dixon poll conducted three weeks before the election for the Casper Star-Tribune showed that in the race for the GOP nomination, State Auditor Rita Meyer led former U.S. Attorney Matt Mead by a 27 percent to 24 percent margin, but her lead was inside the margin of error. Colin Simpson, son of former U.S. Sen. Alan Simpson, received 17 percent in the same GOP survey, while Ron Micheli polled at 12 percent.

Meyer received the backing of Palin in the final weeks of the campaign, with the former Alaska governor writing on her Facebook page, “her true grit has not escaped the eye of other Americans who know that at every level of political office we all benefit with commonsense constitutional conservatives in service.”

The Mason-Dixon poll showed Leslie Peterson leading Peter Gosar 30 percent to 22 percent in the battle for the Democratic nomination. Three other candidates polled at 2 percent or less.

General election already under way in Washington Senate race