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Deal ends Democratic leadership battle

(CNN) — House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has struck a deal that ends the leadership fight for the number two slot in the new House minority, multiple senior Democratic sources tell CNN.

Under the compromise, current House majority leader Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer will become the Democratic whip, which will be the number two spot in the new Democratic minority.

South Carolina Rep. James Clyburn agreed to end his bid for that spot and instead hold a new, third-ranking leadership post that will be created for him. In a letter to Democratic colleagues on Saturday, Pelosi said she plans to designate him “Assistant Leader.”

In a statement Saturday, Clyburn — an African-American — said it was important that the party’s House leadership represented “the diverse views, backgrounds and experiences of our membership.” The new structure, he said, “honors the diversity and fosters the unity” of House Democrats.

“I believe this resolution allows us to begin the journey back to a stronger and more resilient majority,” said Clyburn, the current majority whip and a congressman since 1993.

When the Democrats become the minority party in the House they lose the position of Speaker, a shift that left Hoyer and Clyburn jockeying for the House minority whip position.

Hoyer also released a statement Saturday, saying he would look forward to serving as the Democratic whip.

“Since the election last week, I have made clear my belief that it was important for my friend Jim Clyburn to continue serving our Caucus as the third ranking Member of our Leadership,” he said.

The deal allows Rep. John Larson of Connecticut to keep his post as Democratic caucus chairman and Rep. Xavier Becerra to remain as the vice chair of the Democratic caucus.

Speaker Pelosi revealed the deal in a somewhat cryptic statement late Friday night.

“Should I receive the honor of serving as House Democratic Leader, I will nominate Congressman Jim Clyburn of South Carolina to the number three leadership position,” Pelosi said.

Deal ends Democratic leadership battle

Is Kristi Noem South Dakota’s Sarah Palin?

Watertown, South Dakota (CNN) — South Dakota’s congresswoman-elect Kristi Noem is not exactly a household name, but that could soon change.

Politicos have called her another Sarah Palin — she’s a conservative Tea Party candidate who supports small government, lower taxes, and Second Amendment rights.

However, that’s not why her star power may be on the rise.

House GOP leadership sources also have told CNN that they are planning to add a new leadership spot for a freshman member. Noem confirmed she is indeed interested and she appears to have the backing of key Republicans, according to two GOP leadership sources.

Having her in this position could help the new House Republican majority with two issues: bringing someone associated with the Tea Party movement into the leadership fold and adding another woman.

However, during her campaign for the state’s sole at-large U.S. House seat, Noem maintained a certain amount of distance from the Tea Party, and avoided inflammatory statements, according to some political experts in the state.

Though she welcomed Tea Party support, “She resisted attempts — and certainly the other side attempted — to put her in that radical camp, the Sarah Palin/Tea Party camp,” said Sioux Falls Argus Leader political reporter Jonathan Ellis.

Tea Party issues aside, Noem has been criticized often over the past year for her lack of a four-year college degree and her less-than-stellar driving record which has been widely reported to include 20 speeding tickets, six court notices for failure to appear and two arrest warrants.

Republican head of the class

On the topic of her secondary education, South Dakota State University political science professor Gary Aguiar said that she took classes at several schools in the state, but quit years ago to help out on the family farm after her father’s death. She eventually returned and was most recently studying political science at SDSU.

Her education was put on hold, however, before she ran for Congress.

“In some situations [politicians new to Washington] who didn’t have college experience sort of felt out of their element and weren’t able to grasp all of the complexities of policy,” said Aguiar, who also served as Noem’s academic adviser.

“I don’t think that’s going to happen.”

Federal guidelines prohibit him from discussing a student’s performance in class, but he describes the Congresswoman-elect as “genuine,” “down-to-earth,” “hard-working” and “intelligent.”

“She’s able to grasp difficult ideas very easily,” he said. “She asks questions. She challenges people — pretty much what you’d want in a member of Congress.”

Noem was elected to South Dakota’s state House of Representatives in 2006, and has been the assistant majority leader the past two years. Her time serving as a state lawmaker even earned her internship credit at SDSU.

“I said [to her], ‘You’re already serving. Why don’t you get credit for it and just write a little paper at the end?’ ” Aguiar said.

AnnRae Herr runs a local coffee and sandwich shop in Watertown, South Dakota, a shop she purchased from Noem’s mother.

“Kristi would come back like every other weekend and help out with payroll,” Herr said of Noem’s work at the shop. Noem was always “level-headed and calm,” she said.

Herr express confidence in Noem as a representative of her state.

Noem is “a good listener [and] she asks good questions,” so if she were thrown in the deep end she’d “learn to swim real fast,” said Herr.

“I think she’d really, really spend the hours to learn what needed to be done. … I’ve always gotten the impression that ‘good enough’ isn’t part of her vocabulary, no matter what she’s doing.”

Noem’s driving record is not a factor for Herr, and she laughed at the notion that Noem has been compared to Sarah Palin.

“Hmm, OK well, yea they are both female, and yes they are both cute and are go-getters for their state,” but other than that, Herr said, she’s not sure about the comparison.

Staunch Democrat and fellow South Dakotan Timothy Wilka also makes a distinction between Noem and Palin.

“I think [Kristi Noem] is more articulate than Sarah Palin, which isn’t saying much unfortunately,” Wilka said. “[But] she is a pretty good public speaker.”

But Wilka said Noem is still “not analytical enough or educated enough to really understand the legislative process.”

“The speeding tickets never bothered me because everybody does that,” Wilka said.

“What bothered me was the failures to appear in court and warrants for her arrest. I just think that’s very irresponsible.”

Still, she won the election, and Wilka said he “wishes her well.”

But not only did she win, she beat out incumbent Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, a woman who, in 2008, won almost 70 percent of the vote and was re-elected by one of the largest margins in the state’s history. Some pundits chalk Noem’s win up to the fact that it was simply an anti-incumbent year.

One issue for Noem that never played out much in the campaign, but could come back to haunt her involves reports that Noem’s ranch has received millions of dollars in federal subsidy money. Noem and her husband Bryon also own and operate an insurance company, which offers, among other things, crop insurance. That and federal subsidies have been labeled wasteful by the establishment GOP, who’ve said in the past that taxpayers should not be footing the bill for farmers.

Her husband Bryon defended the insurance subsidies to CNN saying they’re “providing legitimate services” to farmers of the state.

“We’re just trying to make a living in South Dakota,” he said.

Kristi Noem declined an interview for this profile.

CNN’s Kevin Conlon and Dana Bash contributed to this report.

Is Kristi Noem South Dakota’s Sarah Palin?

Political Circus: Hotties in the House

Washington (CNN) — Politics is serious business, but not all of the time. From the halls of Congress to the campaign trail, there’s always something that gets a laugh. Here are some of the things you might have missed.

I’m not just a pretty face!

Check out Politico‘s “10 Crushworthy New Reps” featuring Hansen Clarke, Colleen Hanabusa, Adam Kinzinger and Kristi Noem.

Kinzinger, described by many Hill staffers as “the new hottie on the block,” gets this glowing endorsement from writer Karin Tanabe:

“Why he’s crushworthy: He’s heroic. He won the U.S. Air Force Airman’s Medal for saving a woman’s life in 2007. Plus, we’ll say it: He’s handsome. A pilot and an Iraq war veteran, Kinzinger, in aviators and a flight suit, conjures up memories of Tom Cruise in ‘Top Gun’ — which isn’t a bad thing!”

As for GOP rising star Noem from South Dakota? “She’s more than pretty. Noem isn’t just a strikingly attractive woman, she’s a strikingly attractive woman who can run a farm.”

‘A happy wife is happy life’

Republican Sen. John McCain’s wife, Cindy — a staunch supporter of gay rights — is featured in an ad for the NOH8 campaign championing the repeal of the military’s “don’t ask, don’t tell” policy.

“Our political and religious leaders tell LGBT youth that they have no future,” she said in the ad, which features other celebrities. “They can’t serve our country openly.”

Her ad, though, could cause some issues at home. After all, her husband has signaled he is against repealing the law, which bars openly gay men and women from serving in the military.

From the Twitterverse

What’s in a name, you ask? McCain’s daughter Meghan has the answer.

@McCainBlogette: ” ‘Peter Sellers’ was my secret service nickname and has been my pseudonym at hotels for YEARS (whenever a crazy person threatening my family)”

The next South Beach Diet?

The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports that Rep. Dennis Kucinich, D-Ohio, and his wife are planning to write a vegan diet book called “The Cleveland Diet.”

It will detail Kucinich’s “evolution from eating a traditional meat-and-potatoes diet to eating no animal products,” according to the article.

Headline of the day

Gawker: “White House Undecided On Whether To Let Republicans Walk All Over Them”

Mama Grizzly’s Alaska, or the other way around?

Sarah Palin’s new reality show, “Sarah Palin’s Alaska,” premieres this Sunday on The Learning Channel. But it’s already being panned — especially by New York Daily News columnist David Hinckley.

“Whether you think Palin is America’s breath of fresh air or a lightweight opportunist, there can be no argument this show is way more Palin than Alaska,” he wrote. “If she were buying the time, she couldn’t have created a more flattering infomercial.”

Happy to be here? Raise your hands …

In this handout photo to Getty Images, members of the G-20 Economic Summit pose for their class shot. The photo was taken Friday at the fifth meeting of the G-20 group of nations in Seoul, South Korea.

Notable quotable

“President Obama is meeting with world leaders in South Korea today at the G-20 economic summit. John McCain heard ‘G-20,’ and he yelled ‘Bingo!’ ” — George Lopez

Late-night laughs

Stephen Colbert: “Wall Street hands out record bonuses. Poor people — get ready to be trickled down on.”

Jimmy Fallon: “This guy in Indonesia wrote this book about President Obama. … It’s 5,472 pages long — the thickest book in the world. The book is called ‘One of Obama’s Speeches.’ “

David Letterman: “I’ll say this — the president [George W. Bush] looks great now and is everywhere talking about his book. And he is being very candid: In one interview, he said that he used to do stupid things while he was drunk. But think about it: Who among us hasn’t had a couple of drinks and invaded Iraq?”

Political Circus: Hotties in the House

Political Circus: ‘Rahmbo’ dodges egg

Washington (CNN) — Politics is serious business — but not all of the time. From the halls of Congress to the campaign trail, there’s always something that gets a laugh. Here are some of the things you might have missed:

Rough crowd

Former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel — better known in some political quarters as “Rahmbo” — found himself the target of an incoming egg during a stop Wednesday in Chicago’s Little Village neighborhood, NBC Chicago reports. The egg missed Emanuel, who is expected to make an official announcement soon that he’s running for mayor — and the egg thrower remained unidentified, the TV station reported.

Not a fan

More trouble for Emanuel: His tenant Rob Halpin — who reportedly refuses to move from a house he’s been renting from Emanuel — said he will run for mayor of the Windy City, according to a column by John Kass in the Chicago Tribune.

Halpin’s refusal to leave could hurt Rahm’s candidacy, too: “Now Emanuel’s campaign is expected to be challenged in the courts, a legal maneuver backed by guys on the South Side who are part of the stop-Rahm movement,” Kass wrote. “And Halpin’s talk of candidacy highlights the argument that Rahm is not a resident.”

Time to build an addition on the house perhaps?

‘Real World’ Rehoboth Beach?

Christine O’Donnell — the Tea Party-backed Republican who came up short in Delaware’s Senate race — appeared Wednesday on the “Tonight Show With Jay Leno.” Now that her schedule is free, O’Donnell said plenty of big opportunities are knocking on her door.

“The offers have been interesting,” she told Leno. “Anything from a book deal to a reality show.”

Notable quotable

“The Pentagon says it doesn’t know who was responsible for launching a missile off the California coast. They don’t know. Meanwhile Sasha and Malia [Obama] can’t believe the awesome new video game they just found in the White House.” — Jimmy Fallon

From the Twitterverse

Rep. Peter Roskam, R-Illinois, tweeted during his trip to South Korea, where negotiations for a U.S.-South Korea free-trade agreement are under way. Roskam may be working on a difficult subject, but he took time out to rib President Obama on his love for the teleprompter:

@PeterRoskam: The Teleprompters arrived safely, awaiting POTUS. #Korea http://plixi.com/p/56169133

Can’t see divorce from my house

In a new People magazine article, Sarah and Todd Palin shoot down tabloid rumors that they are on the verge of a $20 million divorce settlement.

“I call Todd on the cell phone [from the grocery checkout] and I say, ‘Todd, you won’t believe this cover!’ And he says, ‘Twenty million? Write me a check,’ ” Palin recounted to the magazine. “He’s good about laughing some of that stuff off.”

The picture you need to see

Someone missed his mark.

In this Getty Images photo, the caption notes, “Obama is moved to the correct spot by South Korean President Lee Myung-Bak and his wife, Kim Yoon-Ok, for a photo during the official reception ahead of the G20 Working Dinner on November 11, 2010, at the National Museum of Korea in Seoul.”

Headline of the day

“Chuck ‘Loko’ over caffeine” — New York Post story on Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-New York.

Late-night laughs

Stephen Colbert: “Things are terrible right now so they [congressional Republicans] are planning to make some bold changes. Yes — extending the existing tax cuts will create jobs. Because the only way out of this mess is to keep things exactly as they are.”

Conan O’Brien: “President George W. Bush has not been in the news for a long time. The day I come back on the air after a 10-month absence he returns — with a book.”

Jay Leno: “While in Indonesia, President Obama said he is making progress toward ending people’s misunderstanding about Muslims — like the fact that he isn’t one.”

David Letterman: “Bush says he’s happy and spends a lot of time down there at his ranch in Texas. He’s glad to be out of the Oval Office. And here’s why he’s glad to be out of the Oval Office: because he does not have to think all the time. And I’m thinking, ‘Wait … that was him thinking all the time?’”

Jon Stewart: “I can’t believe that cutting through our national security bureaucracy to find out something that may not have actually happened [the mysterious rocketlike cloud in California] takes longer than an hourlong cable news shift.”

Political Circus: ‘Rahmbo’ dodges egg

Obama: Indonesia model of religious tolerance

Jakarta, Indonesia (CNN) — Indonesia and the United States share principles of unity and tolerance and both can benefit from strengthened ties that will bolster trade and combat terrorism, President Obama said in a highly anticipated speech Wednesday.

The address at the University of Indonesia was considered a highlight of Obama’s two-day stop in the southeast Asian nation where he spent four years of his childhood.

As the nation with the largest Muslim population in the world, Indonesia was chosen as the site for Obama to further address U.S. relations with the Islamic world following his speech on the topic last year in Cairo, Egypt.

He referred specifically to the Cairo speech of June 2009, noting he called there “for a new beginning between the United States and Muslims around the world — one that creates a path for us to move beyond our differences.”

“I said then, and I will repeat now, that no single speech can eradicate years of mistrust,” Obama said. At the same time, he promised that “no matter what setbacks may come, the United States is committed to human progress.”

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Obama touts importance of Indonesia

Gallery: Barack Obama’s Indonesian childhood

Obama’s trip to Asia

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America “is not, and never will be, at war with Islam,” Obama insisted. “Instead, all of us must defeat al Qaeda and its affiliates, who have no claim to be leaders of any religion — certainly not a great world religion like Islam.”

Indonesia has been rocked by terror attacks such as bombings on Bali in 2002 and 2005, and Obama noted the nation’s progress “in rooting out terrorists and combating violent extremism.”

However, Muslims staged rallies across Indonesia on Sunday to protest the American president’s visit, and about 20,000 people attended the demonstrations, a spokesman for a protest group said.

“We don’t see the differences between Obama and (former U.S. President George W.) Bush. They both oppress Muslims. They both have blood on their hands,” said Ismail Yusanto, a spokesman for the Muslim group Hizbut Tahrir. “That’s why we reject Obama and we don’t believe that he’s reaching out to Muslims.”

In his speech Wednesday, Obama reflected on his years in Indonesia, referring to how he and his family were warmly accepted. He got cheers when he sprinkled sayings from the local Malay language, such as “Selamat Datang” — a greeting of welcome — and the national motto “Bhinneka Tunggal Ika,” which means “unity in diversity.”

Noting that Malay is one of hundreds of languages of the archipelago nation, Obama lauded Indonesia for its spirit of inclusiveness despite its diverse population and history of dictatorship.

“But even as this land of my youth has changed in so many ways, those things that I learned to love about Indonesia — that spirit of tolerance that is written into your constitution, symbolized in your mosques and churches and temples standing alongside each other; that spirit that is embodied in your people — that still lives on,” he said.

Now, Obama said, he returned as the U.S. president seeking “a deep and enduring partnership” with Indonesia, “because as vast and diverse countries; as neighbors on either side of the Pacific; and above all as democracies — the United States and Indonesia are bound together by shared interests and shared values.”

“America has a stake in an Indonesia that is growing, with prosperity that is broadly shared among the Indonesian people — because a rising middle class here means new markets for our goods, just as America is a market for yours,” Obama said.

The U.S. leader called for Indonesia’s continued development and warned that would require “a refusal to tolerate the corruption that stands in the way of opportunity,” along with a commitment to transparency and protecting the freedom being honored on the Heroes’ Day holiday Wednesday marking Indonesian independence.

“Our nations show that hundreds of millions who hold different beliefs can be united in freedom under one flag,” Obama said. “And we are now building on that shared humanity — through the young people who will study in each other’s schools; through the entrepreneurs forging ties that can lead to prosperity; and through our embrace of fundamental democratic values and human aspirations.”

CNN’s Tom Cohen contributed to this report.

Obama: Indonesia model of religious tolerance

Divided Dems look ahead through 2012

Washington (CNN) — One week removed from the great “shellacking” of 2010, Democrats at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue are still picking through the ashes of their lost House majority and debating the best way forward.

Rumors of their demise are, of course, exaggerated. Republicans survived midterm massacres in 1974 and 2006; Democrats lived to tell the tale of 1994. Election night exit polls showed the GOP is no more popular among voters than the Democrats.

But any time a party loses at least 60 seats in the House and six in the Senate, recriminations are bound to fly. Angry liberals accuse the White House of selling them out on a range of issues — public option anyone? — and demoralizing the base. Diminished Blue Dogs point the finger at Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s dismal approval ratings and complain about being saddled with unpopular stimulus and cap-and-trade plans, among other things.

Adding to moderate malaise: Pelosi’s unexpected decision to seek another term as her party’s House leader. The San Francisco speaker has been holed up in her Capitol Hill office this week, working the phones to stave off any possible challenge.

Her decision means more moderate Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer and more liberal South Carolina Rep. James Clyburn — numbers two and three in the current House Democratic leadership — are left fighting over the position of minority whip for the next Congress.

Some observers warn the Congressional Black Caucus will explode if Clyburn — a veteran African-American legislator — doesn’t get the nod.

What does all of this mean? Maybe President Barack Obama picked a good time to pack his bags for Asia. But he can’t avoid a radically changed landscape for the next two years as he pursues a second term.

Obama may have to further distance himself from House Democrats than Bill Clinton did after Republicans won control of Congress in 1994, Brown University political scientist Wendy Schiller told CNN.

“He’s going to have to sell the liberal wing of the Democratic Party down the river in order to get reelected,” she predicted, specifically citing negotiations over an extension of the Bush tax cuts.

Faced with a more uniformly liberal Democratic caucus led by Pelosi, Obama’s got to “become a solo operator,” Schiller said. He has “to step outside of the party box” and “reintroduce himself to the American public.”

But Nathan Gonzales, editor of the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report, warned Obama will rarely attract enough support from the Tea Party-influenced GOP to compensate for the loss of liberal support if he tries too much to position himself as an independent operator.

“The best thing for Obama is to get his party on the same page,” Gonzales said. Republicans who may be inclined to strike a deal “are going to face a lot of pressure to resist working with the Democrats.” To most conservative activists, “that’s viewed as unacceptable. The moment you work with the Democrats, you’re at risk of a primary challenge. That’s a real threat.”

Gonzales cited the example of moderate Maine GOP Sen. Olympia Snowe, who is up for reelection in 2012. The New England Republican has been a favorite of the administration and congressional Democrats looking for bipartisan cover, but is now facing a rising Tea Party threat in her backyard. Her home state, a moderate bastion in recent decades, just elected a sharply conservative Republican governor.

It’s an open question how much politicians such as Snowe will be available to work with Democrats over the next two years.

Schiller and Gonzales differed over the impact of Pelosi staying on as the House Democratic leader.

“The president’s still the president. He’s still the leader of the Democratic Party,” Gonzales said. “In the midterms, Pelosi was more of an issue because the president wasn’t on the ballot. But 2012 is going to be about Obama and the direction he’s taking the country.”

Keeping Pelosi as the top House Democrat “means no change and Democrats can’t afford that message,” Schiller said, largely echoing the views of jubilant Republicans after the speaker announced her intentions last Friday.

Schiller also claimed Democrats may be making a mistake if they dump Clyburn from the party’s leadership.

“Hoyer can present a moderate face, but it’s unclear that he brings any change because he’s been so visible” over the past four years, she argued. He’s “indistinguishable from Nancy Pelosi to the average voter.”

Clyburn, she contended, is “a smart strategic choice. He’s a real southerner. Also, because he’s African-American he may insulate the party from the most vitriolic race-based attacks from very conservative Republicans.”

The “Democratic and Republican moderate voting base is the holy grail for 2012, and they won’t react well to any attack on Clyburn that smacks of racism,” she contended.

Hoyer’s camp, however, asserts he is successfully convincing other House Democrats he is more of a unifying force than Clyburn. At the moment, Hoyer also has more public endorsements than Clyburn. A letter released late Sunday included the names of 30 House Democrats reflecting a broad cross-section of the Democratic caucus.

Sources close to both Hoyer and Clyburn have each told CNN their candidate will prevail. Other Democrats, meanwhile, are convinced both Hoyer and Clyburn will ultimately remain part of the leadership, with one of them taking the number-three slot of Democratic caucus chairman.

Stay tuned.

Divided Dems look ahead through 2012

CIA chief: No more leaking

Washington (CNN) — The head of the Central Intelligence Agency sent a stern warning Monday to the nation’s spies and employees to button up the leaks.

In a memo sent to CIA employees, Director Leon Panetta said the government is taking “a hard line” and warned that unauthorized disclosure of information to media has done “incredible damage” and could endanger lives.

In the memo, Panetta references only one example, WikiLeaks, but writes that in other cases “CIA sources and methods have been compromised.”

The citing of Wikileaks is curious since the bulk of the 400,000 Iraq documents posted by the website are mostly military-related. There are some documents that refer cryptically to other agencies’ activities — some believed to be CIA-related — which appear under the label “OGA,” which stands for “other government agency.”

“Here at the Agency, we are a family, which means we depend on each other — sharing burdens, challenges, and successes,” Panetta writes in the memo. “But sharing cannot extend beyond the limits set by law and the ‘need to know’ principle.”

Panetta noted recent prosecutions for leaking information and said unauthorized information disclosure will be investigated by the CIA’s Office of Security and referred to the Justice Department.

There was no specific reason for releasing the memo now, a U.S. intelligence official said.

“A number of leaks over time — and across our government — prompted Panetta to remind agency employees of their obligation to protect America’s secrets,” the official said. “Unauthorized disclosures of classified information can harm national security, and he wanted to emphasize that important point.”

CNN’s Pam Benson contributed to this report.

CIA chief: No more leaking

GOP walks budget-cutting line with seniors

Washington (CNN) — Republicans rode a tidal wave of senior support into control of the House, promising to cut government spending and restore fiscal sanity to Washington.

But can they deliver on that promise without cutting entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security and angering older voters?

Seniors voted last week by an almost 60-40 split for Republican House candidates, after splitting evenly between Democrats and Republicans in the 2006 midterms. And voters 65 and older made up 24 percent of those casting votes last week.

Read more about exit polling on seniors

Check out exit polls from the 2006 midterm elections

Republicans, who will control the House in the next Congress, have vowed to cut spending in the federal budget, and entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare make up more than half of the budget. Significant cuts can’t happen without addressing these programs.

Changing those programs will be nearly impossible, with advocacy powers like AARP and other seniors’ groups resisting change.

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Perry: Let states decide Social Security

GOP strategist Ron Bonjean found that out when fellow Republicans, notably President George W. Bush, pushed a plan in 2005 to privatize Social Security and implemented changes to Medicare.

The reason Social Security reform failed was because “Americans were not fully educated in what the systemic problems were,” said Bonjean, the former chief of staff to the Senate Republican conference and director of communications for then-Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert.

“Seniors seriously objected to any attempt to change it,” he added.

And seniors resisted change again this year, opposing health care reform, polls showed. Republicans hammered the Obama administration and congressional Democrats on their health care reform law and have vowed to repeal it.

It was a message that caught on with seniors, political analyst Jennifer Donahue said.

“Health care reform played a large factor. … The Obama administration appears to have gone too far too fast on health care, and especially in the minds of older voters, who already have government health care available to them.”

She added that one reason seniors favored Republicans this cycle was because of the endless attack ads on the new law.

Statistics show that anti-health care reform advocates spent $94 million on ads nationwide this year, while the other side spent $19 million.

While repealing the health care reform law will be next to impossible, the sensitive subject is one that may keep seniors wary of Democrats, Donahue added.

Will the GOP take on entitlements?

In the meantime, don’t expect Republican leaders to start changing or slashing entitlements right away, Bonjean said.

“I don’t see it as a top priority for Republicans going into the next Congress,” he said. “I think they’ll start creating a conversation, which needs to be had. Before you try to solve a problem, it will be important for Americans to understand what the problems are.”

Their primary focus will be on the economy and “low-hanging fruit” items in the budget that can be cut.

“Republicans are going to focus on growing the economy, creating jobs, repealing the health care law and cutting nondiscretionary spending. They may look at waste, fraud and abuse within the Medicare program, but their No. 1 priority is to jump-start the economy and repeal the new health care law,” Bonjean said.

Donahue added that even if Republicans float the idea of cutting entitlement programs, they have political cover.

“I think the Republicans have a little bit of cover because they know that a [Democratic] Senate and President Obama won’t cut Medicare,” she said. “So they can try to cut it and fail and that’s their safety net.”

Eventually, though, Congress will need to tackle the growing problems with these programs, which are pressing on the country’s fiscal health.

Bonjean hinted that entitlement change won’t come until the problems get really bad. Americans don’t like to deal with problems, he said, until they are “front and center and almost in a crisis level — like the economic situation we’re in right now.”

“When Medicare and Social Security get to such a point where it will be unsustainable, I think that’s when Americans will force Congress to do something about,” he added. “That’s the way the country works.”

What can Democrats do?

“To try and attract seniors is actually to make movement towards the center,” Donahue said. “And that is a dilemma for the Democrats right now because in order to attract younger voters, they actually have to move to the left.”

Democrats in recent history have had a hard time attracting seniors, so it comes as no surprise that they would face an uphill battle in this year’s election.

“Seniors have been a problem for the Democrats for at least a decade,” CNN polling director Keating Holland said. “Seniors routinely voted Democratic in House elections in the 1970s and 1980s, but starting in 1994 they trended toward the GOP and except for 2000, that trend has held up ever since. So there is some long-term pattern going on — it’s not a recent development.”

And it was certainly seen in the 2008 presidential election, when Barack Obama lost the senior vote to Republican presidential candidate John McCain. Obama was put over the top by support from independents, younger voters and baby boomers.

“For Democrats to have succeeded with older voters this cycle, they would have really had to court them,” Donahue said. “They didn’t do that. Where Republicans I think had the most energy and seemed like the most effective agent of change this cycle.”

CNN’s Rebecca Sinderbrand and Rebecca Stewart contributed to this report.

GOP walks budget-cutting line with seniors

Friends say Boehner not D.C. ‘insider’

Washington (CNN) — Who is John Boehner? Among friends, he’s just one of the guys.

When the Republicans gained majority power in the House of Representatives Tuesday, the man poised to lead them was brought to tears.

That evening, Rep. John Boehner of Ohio, who will soon become the new speaker of the House, told supporters, “I spent my whole life chasing the American dream.”

With tears forming and his voice quavering, Boehner recounted details of his life growing up in southwestern Ohio: “I started out mopping floors, waiting tables and tending bar at my dad’s tavern. I put myself through school, working every rotten job there was and every night shift I could find.”

While it’s a story of humble beginnings — Boehner worked as a janitor in college — it’s a long way from the image many have of him today, as a Washington insider known for a ubiquitous tan, an unstoppable smoking habit and fiery speeches on the House floor.

One of Boehner’s friends, Jerry Vanden Eynden, who has known the 60-year-old, 10-term congressman since seventh grade, told CNN Boehner’s career continues to surprise childhood friends.

“It was nothing that any of us would ever have expected,” said Vanden Eynden, president of a Cincinnati, Ohio, candle company. “We would have expected him more to be successful in business, the way he was, more than get into the political field.”

“I can’t say that there was anything that made him outstanding to me in grade school. He was just one of the guys,” Vanden Eynden said.

Boehner is the second of 12 children.

“The thing I remember most about going to his house was there was always diapers on the line,” recalled Vanden Eynden. “No matter what time of year it was, they were either outside or inside, but his mom always had cloth diapers. There were so many kids running around.”

Who is John Boehner?

There’s no substitute for having run a business. It’s completely different if you’ve only signed the back of a paycheck and you’ve never signed the front.
–Dan Danner, lobbyist and longtime friend of Rep. John Boehner

Boehner is the first in his family to graduate from college. Earning a degree in business from Xavier University, Boehner eventually became president of Nucite Sales, a plastics and packaging company. Boehner began his political career in the 1980s, serving in the Ohio state legislature. He won his first congressional race in 1990.

Twenty years later, longtime friends reject the idea that he has turned into a Washington elitist who’s too chummy with lobbyists.

Dan Danner, president and CEO of the National Federation of Independent Business and himself a registered lobbyist, has known Boehner since he first ran for Congress. He said the image of an insider as someone who is “co-opted by the system” and becomes “someone that you weren’t when you came here” doesn’t describe the congressman.

“You know, I think he’s still John Boehner,” he said.

“There’s no substitute for having run a business,” Danner said. “It’s completely different if you’ve only signed the back of a paycheck and you’ve never signed the front.”

During Boehner’s time in Congress, he’s also earned a reputation among reporters and colleagues as having a laid-back demeanor and a penchant for wisecracks. On Thursday, when questioned by ABC’s Diane Sawyer about the possibility of a “Slurpee summit” with President Obama, Boehner responded, “I don’t know about a Slurpee. How about a glass of merlot?”

“We were angels, and that’s the way we’ll keep it,” said Vanden Eynden when asked if Boehner learned to joke around while attending an all-boys high school in Ohio.

And while friends don’t recall Boehner as someone who easily sheds tears, they say the recent public displays of emotion are genuine.

“It’s sincere,” said Vanden Eynden. “I think he’s seeing that he has a chance to realize that dream, that goal that he put out there.”

Friends say Boehner not D.C. ‘insider’

Pelosi running for minority leader

Washington (CNN) — Outgoing House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Friday she will run for minority leader in the new Congress, even as some moderate and conservative Democrats insisted she should step aside.

“Many of our colleagues have called with their recommendations on how to continue our fight for the middle class, and have encouraged me to run for House Democratic Leader,” she said in a written statement. “Based on those discussions, and driven by the urgency of protecting health care reform, Wall Street reform, and Social Security and Medicare, I have decided to run.”

Pelosi initially announced her intentions via Twitter.

In the wake of Tuesday’s Republican takeover of the House, Democrats will move into the minority positions in the new Congress, which convenes in January.

Shortly after Pelosi’s announcement, House Majority Whip James Clyburn announced that he would be running for minority whip. Pelosi’s No. 2 man, Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer — who is widely considered to be more moderate — will “spend the next few days talking to [House] members and getting their thoughts on him being minority whip,” according to his spokeswoman, Katie Grant.

A senior Democratic source told CNN that Hoyer is “in a nice way saying he is going to run against Clyburn.”

Moderate Democratic Rep. Dan Boren of Oklahoma was the latest to urge Pelosi to step aside and not run for House minority leader. He said he would support a more centrist candidate.

“I cannot in good conscience support Nancy Pelosi as our leader,” Boren told CNN. “I think that it is important for the Democratic Party to move in a new direction for the sake of our country. Democrats and Republicans need leaders who are going to work together.”

Boren’s public pressure for Pelosi to go follows similar comments from Democratic Reps. Heath Schuler of North Carolina and Jim Matheson of Utah, who also have said they would prefer a new, more moderate Democratic leader.

“I think based on the outcome of this election, we should all acknowledge what the American people said — and they are looking for change. And I think when you, as a political party, suffer losses of historic proportions, it makes sense to change things up,” Matheson told CNN. “Therefore, I don’t think she should be running for leader.”

Rep. Jason Altmire, a moderate Democrat from a conservative district in western Pennsylvania, agreed. “I am not voting for Nancy Pelosi,” he said.

“I don’t get the sense that Speaker Pelosi understands what happened on Tuesday. We lost middle America. The Democratic party got crushed,” Altmire told CNN.

He noted that many of his fellow Democrats in districts near his lost their seats.

Despite his opposition, Altmire, who voted against major pieces of Democratic legislation, including the health care bill, said Pelosi will easily be victorious in her quest to be minority leader.

But Democratic Rep. Jesse L. Jackson Jr. of Illinois said he would support Pelosi’s bid. “We’re in a political storm, but we don’t need to adopt an ‘any leader in a storm’ mentality,” Jackson said in a statement issued Friday. After Tuesday’s losses, moderate Democrats are now a very small part of the Democratic caucus. The bigger question, according to multiple Democratic sources, is what Pelosi’s fellow progressives want her to do. Americans United for Change, a progressive political organization, sent an e-mail notice to its members Friday morning asking them to send personal notes to Pelosi urging her to stay.

“Make sure she knows that we will support her,” said the e-mail.

“If she runs, she will win,” said one senior Democratic source.

A progressive Democrat told CNN he had talked to many of his colleagues about the situation in the past few days.

“It’s fair to say that for most progressives, their visceral place was that Nancy deserves to be the leader if she wants to be, but no one would have burst into tears if she decided not to,” said the congressman, who did not want to go on the record in order to protect private conversations.

The Pelosi supporter said she should not be blamed for the losses. Rather the setback was the result of a bad economy and, the supporter said, an ineffective job by the White House in selling Democratic achievements.

While Pelosi’s tireless fundraising has built a reservoir of support among Democratic lawmakers, several sources within the party said there are a number of progressive Democrats also who do not want her to run. Meanwhile, Rep. John Yarmuth, a Kentucky Democrat who had been a staunch supporter of Pelosi, told a local television station that he wants Pelosi to step down as Democratic leader.

“I know that there is some thought that Nancy Pelosi may stay around,” Yarmuth said Thursday. “As good a leader as she has been, I don’t think she’s the right leader to take us forward.”

Shuler is considering challenging Pelosi if she runs, according to a number of Democratic sources. Because of the makeup of the Democratic caucus, few think he would win.

Several Democratic sources say they worry about this dragging out, especially given how public the Democrats’ dispute over Pelosi’s future is becoming.

On Thursday, Pelosi told the Huffington Post that she is getting a positive response from Democratic lawmakers because she has “kept the caucus together” and increased Democratic numbers in 2006 and 2008.

Matheson told CNN one of the political concerns is that it will be harder to recruit candidates to run in 2012 with Pelosi as the Democratic leader — especially those who just lost and may want to try to get their old seats back.

CNN’s Evan Glass contributed to this report.

Pelosi running for minority leader